FUN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.7% | +0.6% | 8.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | +0.6% | 5.0% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -2.2% | -1.3% | 4.4% | 30% |
| 5-day | -2.7% | +1.9% | 10.6% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | 0.33 | -1.41 | -523.6% | -1.5% | +3.9% | +0.2% | -3.8% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | -2.74 | -2.09 | +23.7% | +2.8% | -3.3% | -3.1% | +1.9% |
| 2026-02-19 miss | -0.23 | -0.58 | -147.7% | +5.8% | +8.4% | -2.2% | -7.6% |
| 2025-11-07 beat | 2.09 | 3.07 | +47.2% | +3.0% | -2.0% | -19.0% | -17.4% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 0.78 | -0.70 | -189.7% | -13.5% | -20.8% | +8.4% | +2.7% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | -2.46 | -2.04 | +17.0% | -4.4% | -4.6% | +6.7% | -7.6% |
| 2025-02-27 miss | 0.40 | -2.75 | -782.5% | +2.2% | -5.7% | -10.0% | -18.3% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | 3.44 | 2.13 | -38.1% | +7.5% | +7.3% | +1.5% | +3.5% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 1.07 | 1.72 | +61.2% | +0.3% | +3.1% | -1.0% | -8.3% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | -2.46 | -2.43 | +1.4% | +0.2% | +6.5% | +0.0% | +0.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.