G chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.6% | +3.3% | 8.4% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.6% | 1.8% | 35% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 1.3% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.5% | +0.8% | 9.0% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.97 | 1.00 | +3.6% | -3.0% | -5.2% | -1.3% | +3.1% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 0.92 | 0.98 | +6.3% | -0.9% | -5.6% | -10.8% | +0.2% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.93 | 0.97 | +3.8% | +3.4% | +7.1% | -7.5% | -3.6% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.90 | 0.97 | +8.0% | +12.2% | +15.9% | +0.9% | +2.9% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.85 | 0.88 | +3.1% | +0.8% | +4.4% | +0.3% | +0.3% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.79 | 0.84 | +5.8% | -15.3% | -15.2% | +4.4% | +2.8% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 0.86 | 0.91 | +5.6% | +11.2% | +11.2% | +0.2% | -9.7% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.80 | 0.85 | +6.2% | +8.1% | +9.9% | -2.5% | -2.6% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.72 | 0.79 | +9.5% | +12.2% | +15.7% | +2.1% | +3.7% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 0.68 | 0.73 | +7.2% | +4.0% | +3.6% | +3.3% | -1.6% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 0.74 | 0.82 | +11.3% | +3.0% | +4.6% | -1.7% | -7.1% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +3.5% | -8.4% | -9.1% | +5.7% | +9.3% |
| 2023-08-09 beat | 0.69 | 0.72 | +4.8% | +0.5% | +5.1% | -3.7% | -1.6% |
| 2023-05-10 beat | 0.65 | 0.68 | +4.9% | -1.3% | -7.5% | +6.3% | +5.3% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 0.68 | 0.70 | +2.8% | +2.4% | +0.8% | +0.6% | -5.0% |
| 2022-11-09 beat | 0.69 | 0.75 | +8.2% | +3.1% | +3.0% | -6.1% | -1.5% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.64 | 0.70 | +10.2% | -1.4% | -3.1% | +3.0% | -2.2% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.53 | 0.60 | +14.2% | +1.5% | +5.5% | +6.2% | +11.9% |
| 2022-02-11 beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +3.4% | -0.7% | -7.2% | -3.3% | -5.9% |
| 2021-11-09 beat | 0.56 | 0.66 | +17.2% | -2.1% | -2.3% | +2.8% | +1.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.