GBDC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -0.7% | 1.9% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.1% | 1.7% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.4% | 1.0% | 55% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | -0.3% | 3.1% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | 0.33 | 0.33 | — | -0.5% | -0.8% | +0.8% | -1.0% |
| 2026-05-04 miss | 0.36 | 0.33 | -9.5% | -5.3% | -2.0% | -1.8% | -1.6% |
| 2026-02-04 miss | 0.38 | 0.37 | -1.6% | -2.8% | -5.2% | +2.7% | -1.2% |
| 2025-11-18 miss | 0.38 | 0.38 | -1.0% | +1.6% | -0.2% | +3.3% | -0.4% |
| 2025-08-04 miss | 0.38 | 0.38 | -0.5% | -0.2% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +0.0% |
| 2025-05-05 miss | 0.41 | 0.37 | -9.8% | -0.8% | +0.4% | +4.8% | +6.0% |
| 2025-02-04 miss | 0.43 | 0.37 | -13.9% | -3.1% | -2.3% | +3.4% | -1.8% |
| 2024-11-19 beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +1.8% | -1.7% | -2.0% | +1.8% | -0.9% |
| 2024-08-05 miss | 0.48 | 0.46 | -5.0% | +0.3% | +0.7% | -1.1% | +1.9% |
| 2024-05-06 miss | 0.51 | 0.51 | -0.8% | +0.1% | -1.5% | -1.0% | -4.6% |
| 2024-02-05 beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +2.1% | +0.3% | -1.4% | +2.1% | +3.8% |
| 2023-11-20 beat | 0.46 | 0.60 | +29.3% | +2.5% | +1.3% | -2.0% | -1.1% |
| 2023-08-07 beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +2.9% | +1.3% | +2.0% | +3.1% | -0.8% |
| 2023-05-08 beat | 0.41 | 0.41 | +0.6% | -1.3% | -2.1% | -0.8% | +2.4% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 0.36 | 0.36 | +0.6% | +0.6% | -2.5% | +0.9% | -8.1% |
| 2022-11-21 beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +7.6% | +0.5% | +3.1% | +1.2% | -6.1% |
| 2022-08-09 beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +8.5% | -0.1% | -0.6% | -1.8% | -3.0% |
| 2022-05-10 miss | 0.30 | 0.25 | -15.2% | +0.3% | -1.6% | -5.4% | -9.3% |
| 2022-02-09 miss | 0.29 | 0.27 | -8.2% | +0.3% | +0.7% | -1.4% | -8.7% |
| 2021-11-29 beat | 0.28 | 0.28 | +0.8% | +2.5% | +1.3% | +1.3% | +1.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.