GBDC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | -0.3% | 1.8% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 1.2% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 1.1% | 57% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +0.1% | 2.3% | 52% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | 0.33 | 0.33 | — | -0.5% | -0.8% | +0.8% | -1.0% |
| 2026-05-04 miss | 0.36 | 0.33 | -9.5% | -5.3% | -2.0% | -1.8% | -1.6% |
| 2026-02-04 miss | 0.38 | 0.37 | -1.6% | -2.8% | -5.2% | +2.7% | -1.2% |
| 2025-11-18 miss | 0.38 | 0.38 | -1.0% | +1.6% | -0.2% | +3.3% | -0.4% |
| 2025-08-04 miss | 0.38 | 0.38 | -0.5% | -0.2% | +0.5% | +0.5% | +0.0% |
| 2025-05-05 miss | 0.41 | 0.37 | -9.8% | -0.8% | +0.4% | +4.8% | +6.0% |
| 2025-02-04 miss | 0.43 | 0.37 | -13.9% | -3.1% | -2.3% | +3.4% | -1.8% |
| 2024-11-19 beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +1.8% | -1.7% | -2.0% | +1.8% | -0.9% |
| 2024-08-05 miss | 0.48 | 0.46 | -5.0% | +0.3% | +0.7% | -1.1% | +1.9% |
| 2024-05-06 miss | 0.51 | 0.51 | -0.8% | +0.1% | -1.5% | -1.0% | -4.6% |
| 2024-02-05 beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +2.1% | +0.3% | -1.4% | +2.1% | +3.8% |
| 2023-11-20 beat | 0.46 | 0.60 | +29.3% | +2.5% | +1.3% | -2.0% | -1.1% |
| 2023-08-07 beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +2.9% | +1.3% | +2.0% | +3.1% | -0.8% |
| 2023-05-08 beat | 0.41 | 0.41 | +0.6% | -1.3% | -2.1% | -0.8% | +2.4% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 0.36 | 0.36 | +0.6% | +0.6% | -2.5% | +0.9% | -8.1% |
| 2022-11-21 beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +7.6% | +0.5% | +3.1% | +1.2% | -6.1% |
| 2022-08-09 beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +8.5% | -0.1% | -0.6% | -1.8% | -3.0% |
| 2022-05-10 miss | 0.30 | 0.25 | -15.2% | +0.3% | -1.6% | -5.4% | -9.3% |
| 2022-02-09 miss | 0.29 | 0.27 | -8.2% | +0.3% | +0.7% | -1.4% | -8.7% |
| 2021-11-29 beat | 0.28 | 0.28 | +0.8% | +2.5% | +1.3% | +1.3% | +1.3% |
| 2021-08-09 miss | 0.30 | 0.25 | -15.2% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.2% | -3.3% |
| 2021-05-10 miss | 0.29 | 0.24 | -17.2% | -0.8% | -2.2% | +2.3% | +2.7% |
| 2021-02-08 miss | 0.27 | 0.23 | -16.1% | +0.6% | -2.3% | +0.8% | +1.4% |
| 2020-11-30 miss | 0.27 | 0.24 | -13.0% | +0.8% | +1.1% | +0.1% | +0.0% |
| 2020-08-10 miss | 0.27 | 0.23 | -14.6% | +0.0% | +1.1% | +0.0% | +3.3% |
| 2020-05-11 miss | 0.33 | 0.24 | -27.8% | +0.9% | +3.5% | +0.2% | +10.5% |
| 2020-02-10 miss | 0.32 | 0.24 | -25.6% | -0.5% | -1.1% | +1.3% | -11.5% |
| 2019-11-25 beat | 0.33 | 0.37 | +13.2% | +0.3% | +0.3% | -0.4% | +1.3% |
| 2019-08-07 beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +0.1% | +0.6% | +1.7% | +0.5% | +1.1% |
| 2019-05-08 | 0.32 | 0.32 | — | +0.0% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 2019-02-06 | 0.32 | 0.32 | — | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.8% |
| 2018-11-28 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +5.0% | +1.0% | -1.4% | -1.4% | -11.1% |
| 2018-08-08 miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -2.8% | -0.4% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -1.9% |
| 2018-05-07 miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -3.6% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.9% | -0.2% |
| 2018-02-07 miss | 0.32 | 0.32 | -0.5% | +0.1% | -1.5% | +2.1% | +0.9% |
| 2017-11-20 miss | 0.32 | 0.32 | -0.5% | +0.5% | -0.9% | +1.4% | -1.4% |
| 2017-08-07 beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +0.1% | -0.4% | -0.1% | -0.5% | -5.5% |
| 2017-05-04 beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +1.3% | +0.5% | +1.2% | -1.3% | -3.7% |
| 2017-02-08 miss | 0.32 | 0.32 | -0.5% | +0.0% | -3.2% | -0.4% | +3.3% |
| 2016-11-16 beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +0.8% | +1.3% | +3.7% | -1.1% | -1.7% |
| 2016-08-03 miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -1.6% | +1.4% | +1.0% | -2.2% | -1.4% |
| 2016-05-05 beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +3.1% | -0.6% | -0.8% | +0.4% | +0.8% |
| 2016-02-05 miss | 0.32 | 0.29 | -9.4% | -0.9% | +0.0% | +3.4% | +9.0% |
| 2015-11-17 miss | 0.32 | 0.30 | -6.1% | +0.7% | +0.4% | +1.6% | -3.4% |
| 2015-08-05 beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +1.5% | +0.9% | +3.4% | +0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2015-05-11 miss | 0.33 | 0.31 | -6.1% | -0.9% | -1.2% | +1.0% | +1.8% |
| 2015-02-06 miss | 0.33 | 0.31 | -5.0% | +0.3% | -1.0% | -0.2% | -0.6% |
| 2014-11-18 beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +1.1% | +1.1% | -0.7% | +1.9% | +0.8% |
| 2014-08-07 beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +0.3% | +0.7% | -1.0% | +1.8% | +6.6% |
| 2014-05-08 miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -2.5% | -0.9% | -3.0% | +1.4% | +12.2% |
| 2014-02-06 miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -2.9% | +1.0% | +0.1% | +3.1% | +5.7% |
| 2013-12-03 miss | 0.33 | 0.31 | -5.3% | -0.8% | -1.4% | +2.0% | +3.7% |
| 2013-08-08 beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +3.2% | -0.2% | -4.3% | -0.1% | +2.5% |
| 2013-05-03 beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +2.6% | +1.5% | +2.3% | -0.3% | -0.3% |
| 2013-02-07 beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +12.6% | +0.3% | -0.2% | +0.8% | +3.0% |
| 2012-11-29 beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +1.0% | +1.2% | +2.2% | -1.2% | +1.1% |
| 2012-08-06 miss | 0.30 | 0.26 | -13.1% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +0.5% | +1.8% |
| 2012-05-02 miss | 0.31 | 0.29 | -7.0% | -0.5% | -0.1% | +1.4% | -1.3% |
| 2012-02-06 miss | 0.30 | 0.29 | -4.9% | -0.7% | -0.5% | +0.2% | -3.8% |
| 2011-12-08 miss | 0.30 | 0.30 | -0.6% | +5.8% | +2.6% | -0.4% | -0.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.