GCI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | -3.5% | 14.7% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.9% | 6.8% | 57% |
| Day 3 | +3.0% | +0.0% | 7.9% | 47% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | -5.0% | 18.2% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 miss | -0.12 | -0.27 | -124.5% | -3.4% | +27.7% | -4.0% | -5.3% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | -0.06 | 0.42 | +828.3% | +7.9% | +4.4% | +5.8% | +7.9% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | -0.02 | -0.05 | -100.0% | +0.0% | -3.4% | +13.9% | +11.7% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | -0.06 | 0.11 | +280.4% | -2.9% | -3.7% | -14.7% | -33.8% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | -0.20 | -0.04 | +78.5% | -10.0% | -19.3% | +16.4% | +13.0% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | -0.06 | 0.19 | +393.4% | +0.6% | -7.9% | -2.9% | +17.0% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | -0.08 | -0.26 | -222.2% | +7.5% | +27.0% | +7.5% | +26.5% |
| 2024-02-22 miss | 0.06 | -0.13 | -317.8% | +2.7% | -10.0% | +7.0% | +11.6% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | 0.01 | -0.18 | -1863.0% | -5.7% | -15.2% | -3.6% | +0.0% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | -0.05 | -0.04 | +15.1% | +2.9% | +13.1% | +7.4% | -5.1% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -0.06 | 0.04 | +165.8% | +5.1% | -16.7% | +20.6% | +21.2% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 0.17 | 0.28 | +62.4% | +9.3% | +23.6% | -7.5% | -42.6% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | -0.04 | 0.35 | +971.8% | +1.4% | +18.2% | +16.0% | +49.1% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 0.03 | -0.20 | -752.3% | -26.2% | -28.3% | +13.0% | -0.4% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | -0.07 | 0.03 | +143.3% | -5.2% | -3.3% | -7.1% | -6.9% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | 0.34 | 0.32 | -4.7% | -17.1% | -6.8% | -1.8% | -6.9% |
| 2021-11-05 beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +16.0% | -4.8% | -8.9% | -6.4% | -12.7% |
| 2021-08-06 beat | 0.01 | 0.20 | +1888.6% | +6.8% | +14.2% | -8.7% | +3.2% |
| 2021-05-07 miss | -0.12 | -1.06 | -748.0% | -14.0% | -0.9% | +16.8% | +17.9% |
| 2021-02-25 miss | -0.32 | -0.92 | -188.2% | -2.0% | -14.1% | +7.5% | +11.0% |
| 2020-11-03 beat | -0.44 | -0.30 | +31.8% | +12.3% | +27.2% | +16.6% | +95.2% |
| 2020-08-06 miss | -0.60 | -3.32 | -449.6% | -13.2% | -4.2% | +8.7% | +15.0% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | -0.21 | -0.61 | -196.0% | +3.7% | -8.8% | +4.5% | +198.2% |
| 2020-02-27 miss | -0.27 | -1.05 | -285.4% | -7.8% | -1.8% | -19.8% | -58.5% |
| 2019-10-31 miss | 0.12 | -0.31 | -358.3% | -5.3% | -3.1% | -13.5% | -26.3% |
| 2019-08-05 miss | 0.07 | 0.05 | -29.3% | +0.1% | -18.6% | -1.5% | +12.8% |
| 2019-05-02 miss | -0.01 | -0.15 | -2093.0% | -1.7% | -3.3% | -2.0% | -10.0% |
| 2019-02-27 miss | 0.46 | 0.22 | -52.2% | -0.3% | -4.0% | -4.7% | -17.3% |
| 2018-10-31 miss | 0.12 | 0.06 | -49.8% | +0.1% | +5.0% | -3.7% | -9.8% |
| 2018-08-02 miss | 0.26 | 0.21 | -19.8% | -0.4% | -7.7% | -2.3% | -2.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.