GD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.0% | -0.1% | 3.1% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.5% | 1.7% | 57% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 1.2% | 43% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | +0.3% | 4.1% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 3.97 | 4.24 | +6.9% | +1.4% | -3.1% | +0.8% | -0.2% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 3.69 | 4.10 | +11.1% | +7.8% | +8.0% | +2.5% | +2.4% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 4.12 | 4.17 | +1.3% | -4.0% | -2.7% | -0.9% | +0.1% |
| 2025-10-24 beat | 3.71 | 3.88 | +4.6% | +4.5% | +2.7% | -1.7% | -3.6% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 3.54 | 3.74 | +5.6% | +4.2% | +6.5% | -1.5% | -0.1% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 3.48 | 3.66 | +5.3% | -1.2% | -3.3% | +2.4% | +4.3% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 4.04 | 4.15 | +2.7% | -3.3% | -4.2% | +2.8% | +0.5% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | 3.51 | 3.35 | -4.5% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -1.0% | -8.0% |
| 2024-07-24 miss | 3.33 | 3.26 | -2.0% | -2.9% | -3.3% | +4.9% | +3.1% |
| 2024-04-24 miss | 2.93 | 2.88 | -1.8% | -1.2% | -4.0% | +1.9% | +5.5% |
| 2024-01-24 beat | 3.62 | 3.64 | +0.7% | +1.2% | +4.7% | +1.5% | +4.8% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 2.92 | 3.04 | +3.9% | +2.6% | +4.0% | +0.1% | +2.2% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 2.60 | 2.70 | +3.9% | +1.0% | +2.2% | +1.6% | +0.5% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 2.59 | 2.64 | +1.8% | -2.8% | -3.6% | -2.2% | -4.9% |
| 2023-01-25 beat | 3.54 | 3.58 | +1.1% | -4.5% | -3.6% | +1.6% | +2.2% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 3.14 | 3.26 | +3.7% | +0.7% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +3.3% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 2.73 | 2.75 | +0.8% | +0.8% | +1.0% | +4.9% | +8.3% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 2.52 | 2.61 | +3.8% | +0.3% | +1.3% | +1.2% | -7.8% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 3.37 | 3.39 | +0.5% | -0.9% | -0.5% | +4.5% | +11.3% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 2.99 | 3.07 | +2.8% | +0.2% | +0.6% | -2.2% | -6.0% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 2.55 | 2.61 | +2.5% | +2.2% | +0.8% | +0.2% | +1.8% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 2.30 | 2.48 | +7.7% | +1.6% | -0.3% | +2.9% | +2.9% |
| 2021-01-27 miss | 3.54 | 3.49 | -1.3% | +0.3% | +1.6% | +0.2% | +7.0% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 2.86 | 2.90 | +1.4% | +0.0% | -1.8% | +5.0% | +14.8% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | 2.17 | 2.18 | +0.2% | -0.9% | +0.6% | -0.2% | +2.0% |
| 2020-04-29 miss | 2.56 | 2.43 | -5.2% | +2.4% | +0.1% | -10.9% | +7.4% |
| 2020-01-29 beat | 3.46 | 3.51 | +1.4% | +0.2% | -0.1% | +0.3% | -13.0% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | 3.05 | 3.14 | +2.9% | -1.2% | -3.5% | +2.7% | +5.4% |
| 2019-07-24 beat | 2.69 | 2.77 | +2.8% | +0.0% | +0.9% | -0.9% | +0.0% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 2.39 | 2.56 | +7.1% | +5.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% | -9.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.