GEV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.5% | +2.1% | 7.2% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +2.7% | +2.9% | 2.9% | 80% |
| Day 3 | +1.1% | +0.7% | 3.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | +3.2% | +6.2% | 11.4% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 miss | 3.18 | 2.47 | -22.4% | -5.4% | -8.7% | -8.6% | -1.9% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 1.67 | 2.01 | +20.4% | +8.6% | +13.7% | -5.7% | -7.4% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 3.14 | 12.91 | +310.9% | -0.2% | +2.7% | +4.9% | +22.8% |
| 2025-10-22 miss | 1.86 | 1.64 | -11.7% | +3.7% | -1.6% | +0.3% | -3.1% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 1.64 | 1.86 | +13.4% | +8.5% | +14.6% | +4.1% | -3.7% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.61 | 0.91 | +49.1% | +8.6% | +3.1% | +10.3% | +36.5% |
| 2025-01-22 miss | 2.37 | 1.33 | -44.0% | +3.4% | +2.7% | -17.3% | -23.2% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | 0.26 | -0.35 | -232.7% | -1.0% | +1.3% | +6.3% | +21.4% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.74 | 1.02 | +39.0% | -1.8% | -4.5% | +9.4% | +14.2% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | -0.22 | -0.41 | -82.8% | -2.2% | +1.5% | +3.7% | +19.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.