GIS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -1.5% | 4.1% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.3% | 0.8% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.6% | 1.4% | 40% |
| 5-day | -1.1% | -0.5% | 3.5% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 beat | 0.80 | 0.95 | +19.2% | +8.4% | +8.5% | -5.1% | -5.3% |
| 2026-03-18 miss | 0.73 | 0.64 | -12.1% | -0.2% | -3.0% | -3.8% | -5.6% |
| 2025-12-17 beat | 1.03 | 1.10 | +7.1% | +2.1% | +3.4% | -3.3% | -8.6% |
| 2025-09-17 beat | 0.82 | 0.86 | +5.5% | -1.7% | -0.8% | +3.9% | -3.0% |
| 2025-06-25 beat | 0.71 | 0.74 | +4.1% | -2.5% | -5.1% | +6.2% | +0.8% |
| 2025-03-19 beat | 0.96 | 1.00 | +4.0% | -1.8% | -2.1% | -0.2% | -2.9% |
| 2024-12-18 beat | 1.22 | 1.40 | +15.0% | -4.3% | -3.1% | -0.2% | -7.2% |
| 2024-09-18 beat | 1.06 | 1.07 | +1.0% | -3.0% | +0.7% | -1.7% | -5.8% |
| 2024-06-26 beat | 0.99 | 1.01 | +1.6% | -7.2% | -4.6% | -1.7% | +3.4% |
| 2024-03-20 beat | 1.05 | 1.17 | +11.9% | +7.8% | +1.2% | +0.3% | +1.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.