GL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.3% | 3.9% | 53% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.9% | 1.8% | 63% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.1% | 2.0% | 43% |
| 5-day | +1.1% | +0.2% | 5.1% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 miss | 3.68 | 3.61 | -2.0% | -7.5% | -7.0% | +7.0% | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-22 miss | 3.48 | 3.43 | -1.4% | -0.8% | +1.8% | +0.2% | +1.5% |
| 2026-02-04 miss | 3.44 | 3.39 | -1.3% | +3.0% | +1.5% | -1.9% | -3.4% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 4.54 | 4.81 | +5.9% | -1.4% | +0.1% | -2.4% | -2.4% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 3.25 | 3.27 | +0.8% | +0.0% | +5.4% | +6.8% | +7.4% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | 3.24 | 3.07 | -5.2% | -9.9% | -4.6% | +3.0% | +3.8% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 3.12 | 3.14 | +0.7% | +0.8% | -2.5% | +3.0% | +2.2% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 3.06 | 3.49 | +14.2% | +3.7% | -1.3% | -3.5% | +1.0% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 2.91 | 2.97 | +2.1% | +6.5% | +0.9% | +4.3% | +13.2% |
| 2024-04-22 miss | 2.79 | 2.78 | -0.3% | +1.7% | +14.1% | +0.5% | +13.0% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 2.73 | 2.80 | +2.5% | +0.9% | +2.0% | +0.7% | -0.8% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 2.65 | 2.71 | +2.2% | +1.9% | +1.3% | +2.1% | +6.7% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 2.58 | 2.61 | +1.4% | +0.0% | -2.5% | +2.6% | +0.3% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 2.47 | 2.53 | +2.5% | +0.1% | -0.3% | +1.9% | +0.1% |
| 2023-02-01 beat | 2.17 | 2.24 | +3.2% | +2.3% | -2.9% | +2.9% | +3.4% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 2.10 | 2.15 | +2.3% | +0.6% | -2.1% | +0.4% | +3.8% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 2.05 | 2.07 | +0.8% | -0.5% | -1.8% | -1.8% | -0.7% |
| 2022-04-20 miss | 1.73 | 1.70 | -1.6% | +0.7% | +0.5% | -3.9% | -11.7% |
| 2022-02-02 miss | 1.76 | 1.70 | -3.6% | +0.3% | -1.5% | +3.6% | -8.0% |
| 2021-10-20 miss | 1.89 | 1.78 | -5.7% | -6.7% | -5.2% | -2.5% | -1.0% |
| 2021-07-21 beat | 1.82 | 1.85 | +1.6% | +0.1% | -1.0% | +1.4% | +2.2% |
| 2021-04-21 miss | 1.61 | 1.53 | -5.1% | -0.5% | -3.1% | +1.3% | +3.3% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | 1.71 | 1.74 | +1.6% | -0.2% | -1.9% | +1.7% | +7.1% |
| 2020-10-21 beat | 1.75 | 1.75 | +0.2% | -0.1% | +2.8% | -7.8% | +7.9% |
| 2020-07-22 beat | 1.51 | 1.65 | +9.4% | +4.3% | +6.1% | -0.7% | +0.5% |
| 2020-04-22 beat | 1.71 | 1.73 | +1.0% | -0.5% | +2.2% | +10.0% | -3.1% |
| 2020-02-04 miss | 1.72 | 1.70 | -1.1% | -1.4% | +1.2% | +0.9% | -20.1% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | 1.69 | 1.73 | +2.1% | +1.1% | +0.8% | +0.9% | +4.6% |
| 2019-07-24 beat | 1.65 | 1.67 | +1.2% | +1.3% | +1.4% | -3.8% | -6.5% |
| 2019-04-17 beat | 1.58 | 1.64 | +3.5% | +0.3% | +2.9% | -2.0% | -0.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.