GNW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.0% | -1.1% | 4.7% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.2% | 2.3% | 43% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.2% | 1.8% | 53% |
| 5-day | -0.8% | -0.8% | 7.0% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +7.4% | +0.7% | +0.2% | +2.9% | +6.6% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.20 | 0.28 | +40.0% | +3.0% | +3.4% | -0.3% | -5.6% |
| 2025-11-05 miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -20.0% | +1.9% | +0.2% | -1.5% | +1.2% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.02 | 0.16 | +700.0% | +1.1% | -0.9% | +3.7% | +9.0% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | 0.21 | 0.12 | -42.9% | -2.2% | -1.0% | +3.4% | +4.3% |
| 2025-02-18 miss | 0.12 | 0.04 | -66.7% | -4.6% | -7.9% | -0.1% | +4.5% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | 0.14 | 0.11 | -21.4% | -3.4% | -1.7% | +3.4% | +5.3% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.12 | 0.28 | +133.3% | +0.9% | -2.7% | -4.6% | +5.9% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.14 | 0.19 | +35.7% | +2.5% | +6.4% | +2.5% | -2.8% |
| 2024-02-21 miss | 0.17 | -0.51 | -400.0% | -3.8% | -2.0% | +3.5% | +5.7% |
| 2023-11-08 miss | 0.25 | 0.09 | -64.0% | -2.8% | -8.2% | +4.7% | +14.2% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +20.0% | -1.1% | +0.6% | -7.0% | -11.8% |
| 2023-05-03 miss | 0.27 | 0.12 | -55.6% | -3.8% | -13.5% | +11.0% | +13.7% |
| 2023-02-06 beat | 0.23 | 0.33 | +43.5% | +0.0% | -4.2% | +14.5% | +8.6% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 0.23 | 0.31 | +34.8% | +0.0% | +1.3% | -5.7% | +8.2% |
| 2022-08-01 beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +13.3% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +4.1% | +1.0% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 0.25 | 0.25 | +2.0% | -0.5% | +3.0% | -6.8% | -3.2% |
| 2022-02-01 beat | 0.29 | 0.32 | +10.3% | -0.8% | +1.3% | +10.1% | -1.3% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.32 | 0.46 | +43.8% | +0.9% | -4.2% | -1.4% | -10.3% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 0.24 | 0.38 | +58.3% | +0.6% | -0.9% | +11.0% | +10.7% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.23 | 0.33 | +43.5% | -1.6% | -1.4% | +0.2% | -3.2% |
| 2021-02-16 beat | 0.27 | 0.34 | +28.3% | -7.7% | -10.9% | -6.8% | +3.6% |
| 2020-11-04 beat | 0.10 | 0.26 | +160.0% | +4.9% | +3.7% | +5.4% | +10.8% |
| 2020-07-29 miss | 0.02 | -0.04 | -300.0% | -6.0% | -6.5% | +8.5% | +17.9% |
| 2020-05-05 miss | 0.25 | 0.07 | -72.0% | -0.6% | -10.7% | -6.7% | +14.7% |
| 2020-02-04 miss | 0.20 | 0.05 | -74.4% | -9.5% | -5.8% | +6.2% | +14.0% |
| 2019-10-29 miss | 0.30 | 0.24 | -19.2% | -3.3% | +2.6% | -7.8% | -9.6% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 0.27 | 0.40 | +47.8% | +3.0% | -1.2% | -1.5% | +12.0% |
| 2019-04-30 miss | 0.30 | 0.24 | -20.8% | +0.3% | +0.5% | -1.0% | -23.6% |
| 2019-02-05 miss | 0.26 | -0.58 | -323.5% | -2.1% | -1.5% | -3.0% | -23.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.