GRFS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | +0.3% | 3.5% | 59% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | -0.1% | 2.8% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 2.0% | 53% |
| 5-day | -0.8% | -1.1% | 5.1% | 41% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-28 miss | 0.28 | 0.22 | -19.2% | -0.2% | +4.1% | +1.2% | -6.7% |
| 2024-07-30 miss | 0.23 | 0.15 | -32.6% | +1.9% | -3.6% | -0.5% | +21.8% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 0.15 | 0.10 | -30.5% | +0.2% | -1.9% | +3.2% | -0.6% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +3.2% | +6.7% | +1.8% | -2.8% | -8.2% |
| 2021-02-26 beat | 0.25 | 0.29 | +15.8% | -0.1% | +1.4% | -7.6% | +2.2% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +6.7% | +3.0% | +4.7% | +2.6% | -0.1% |
| 2020-07-30 miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -1.3% | -2.4% | +0.1% | -4.2% | -17.3% |
| 2020-04-21 miss | 0.30 | 0.24 | -18.6% | +1.0% | +2.1% | -3.0% | -5.1% |
| 2020-02-27 miss | 0.31 | 0.31 | -1.6% | -4.6% | -8.8% | +3.0% | -3.8% |
| 2019-10-29 miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -7.1% | +2.7% | +2.2% | -0.5% | +4.8% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +0.1% | -1.5% | +0.9% | -3.6% | -6.0% |
| 2019-05-07 miss | 0.25 | 0.25 | -1.3% | +1.5% | -0.4% | -6.3% | -2.1% |
| 2019-02-28 miss | 0.31 | 0.24 | -22.9% | -2.4% | -1.3% | +0.1% | +4.3% |
| 2018-11-05 miss | 0.31 | 0.29 | -5.8% | -0.1% | -0.9% | -1.4% | -7.1% |
| 2018-07-27 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +6.7% | +0.0% | +0.4% | -0.2% | +0.1% |
| 2018-05-03 miss | 0.29 | 0.28 | -3.8% | +3.7% | +1.8% | +7.1% | +8.5% |
| 2018-02-28 miss | 0.31 | 0.29 | -8.1% | -2.8% | -2.5% | -1.1% | -2.8% |
| 2017-11-02 miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -4.3% | -4.2% | +0.2% | -0.6% | -4.7% |
| 2017-07-28 beat | 0.28 | 0.28 | +1.5% | +2.8% | +2.0% | +2.2% | -0.6% |
| 2017-05-03 beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +1.7% | +0.0% | -2.1% | +0.4% | +1.1% |
| 2017-02-28 beat | 0.25 | 0.25 | +3.6% | +0.1% | -0.5% | +0.7% | +4.6% |
| 2016-11-08 beat | 0.25 | 0.28 | +11.6% | +1.1% | +2.3% | +2.3% | -3.9% |
| 2016-07-28 miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -5.5% | -2.3% | -3.5% | -1.1% | -3.4% |
| 2016-05-05 miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -4.2% | +0.3% | +0.1% | -2.5% | +12.5% |
| 2016-02-29 miss | 0.27 | 0.24 | -11.5% | -0.2% | -0.1% | -1.5% | -0.4% |
| 2015-11-04 beat | 0.22 | 0.26 | +16.0% | +1.6% | +0.7% | -2.0% | -1.2% |
| 2015-07-30 beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +6.9% | +3.4% | +5.0% | -2.8% | -6.8% |
| 2015-05-07 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +5.5% | -0.9% | +1.1% | +2.1% | -4.6% |
| 2015-02-26 miss | 0.28 | 0.17 | -41.0% | +1.6% | -1.7% | -3.0% | -0.7% |
| 2014-11-04 miss | 0.27 | 0.27 | -1.3% | +5.1% | +2.0% | +3.0% | -1.9% |
| 2014-07-31 miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -8.1% | -9.1% | -13.1% | -5.4% | +9.5% |
| 2014-05-06 beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +6.4% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +3.2% | +12.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.