GRFS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +1.6% | 4.0% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | -0.1% | 3.9% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.0% | 2.5% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.7% | -1.0% | 4.7% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-28 miss | 0.28 | 0.22 | -19.2% | -0.2% | +4.1% | +1.2% | -6.7% |
| 2024-07-30 miss | 0.23 | 0.15 | -32.6% | +1.9% | -3.6% | -0.5% | +21.8% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 0.15 | 0.10 | -30.5% | +0.2% | -1.9% | +3.2% | -0.6% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +3.2% | +6.7% | +1.8% | -2.8% | -8.2% |
| 2021-02-26 beat | 0.25 | 0.29 | +15.8% | -0.1% | +1.4% | -7.6% | +2.2% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +6.7% | +3.0% | +4.7% | +2.6% | -0.1% |
| 2020-07-30 miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -1.3% | -2.4% | +0.1% | -4.2% | -17.3% |
| 2020-04-21 miss | 0.30 | 0.24 | -18.6% | +1.0% | +2.1% | -3.0% | -5.1% |
| 2020-02-27 miss | 0.31 | 0.31 | -1.6% | -4.6% | -8.8% | +3.0% | -3.8% |
| 2019-10-29 miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -7.1% | +2.7% | +2.2% | -0.5% | +4.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.