GS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.4% | +2.2% | 3.5% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +1.0% | 1.3% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | -0.7% | 2.0% | 30% |
| 5-day | +3.0% | +2.9% | 4.5% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 beat | 14.54 | 20.98 | +44.3% | +3.7% | +9.0% | -4.8% | -9.0% |
| 2026-04-13 beat | 16.24 | 17.55 | +8.1% | -3.6% | -1.9% | +5.7% | +6.2% |
| 2026-01-15 beat | 11.76 | 14.01 | +19.1% | -0.8% | +4.6% | -5.8% | -6.1% |
| 2025-10-14 beat | 11.09 | 12.25 | +10.5% | -2.8% | -2.0% | -1.5% | +8.8% |
| 2025-07-16 beat | 9.62 | 10.91 | +13.4% | +0.9% | +0.9% | +1.2% | +5.4% |
| 2025-04-14 beat | 12.29 | 14.12 | +14.9% | +3.1% | +1.9% | +3.2% | +21.4% |
| 2025-01-15 beat | 8.29 | 10.97 | +32.3% | +4.6% | +6.0% | +5.5% | +9.0% |
| 2024-10-15 beat | 7.31 | 9.02 | +23.4% | +3.1% | -0.1% | -0.8% | +13.8% |
| 2024-07-15 beat | 8.40 | 8.41 | +0.1% | +0.1% | +2.6% | -1.1% | -0.1% |
| 2024-04-15 beat | 8.70 | 11.58 | +33.1% | +4.5% | +2.9% | +4.1% | +14.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.