HBI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.4% | +4.1% | 12.4% | 56% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 3.7% | 44% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.2% | 4.3% | 44% |
| 5-day | +10.1% | +7.2% | 20.5% | 67% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-12 | 0.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.16 | 0.15 | -6.8% | -2.7% | -3.6% | +3.8% | — |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.18 | 0.24 | +34.8% | +21.1% | +11.5% | +38.7% | +38.5% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +14.3% | +3.3% | +4.1% | +2.9% | -2.4% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | 0.06 | -0.04 | -166.7% | -20.5% | -18.5% | -1.8% | -5.1% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +26.0% | +7.0% | +18.0% | -5.8% | -0.1% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.07 | 0.15 | +101.9% | +7.9% | +18.1% | +3.9% | +0.5% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | -0.08 | -0.02 | +74.2% | +4.3% | +4.9% | +9.4% | +9.4% |
| 2024-02-15 miss | 0.09 | 0.03 | -66.4% | -1.7% | -8.1% | +10.8% | +29.7% |
| 2023-11-09 miss | 0.10 | 0.10 | -4.2% | +0.9% | -5.2% | +4.2% | -3.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.