HBI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.7% | -3.6% | 11.8% | 28% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -0.8% | 3.8% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | -0.2% | 4.0% | 38% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | -0.8% | 16.3% | 41% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-12 | 0.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.16 | 0.15 | -6.8% | -2.7% | -3.6% | +3.8% | — |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.18 | 0.24 | +34.8% | +21.1% | +11.5% | +38.7% | +38.5% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +14.3% | +3.3% | +4.1% | +2.9% | -2.4% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | 0.06 | -0.04 | -166.7% | -20.5% | -18.5% | -1.8% | -5.1% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +26.0% | +7.0% | +18.0% | -5.8% | -0.1% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.07 | 0.15 | +101.9% | +7.9% | +18.1% | +3.9% | +0.5% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | -0.08 | -0.02 | +74.2% | +4.3% | +4.9% | +9.4% | +9.4% |
| 2024-02-15 miss | 0.09 | 0.03 | -66.4% | -1.7% | -8.1% | +10.8% | +29.7% |
| 2023-11-09 miss | 0.10 | 0.10 | -4.2% | +0.9% | -5.2% | +4.2% | -3.2% |
| 2023-08-10 beat | -0.02 | -0.01 | +40.7% | -7.7% | -1.1% | +3.2% | -12.5% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | -0.07 | -0.06 | +12.4% | +2.0% | -0.6% | -14.5% | -9.8% |
| 2023-02-02 miss | 0.08 | 0.07 | -7.9% | -15.4% | -27.9% | -8.9% | -10.7% |
| 2022-11-09 beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +8.0% | -1.4% | -8.5% | +12.8% | -2.0% |
| 2022-08-11 miss | 0.31 | 0.28 | -10.8% | -3.2% | -7.7% | -0.3% | -11.2% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.28 | 0.34 | +19.6% | -2.3% | -10.4% | +0.8% | -6.9% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 0.44 | 0.44 | +0.8% | +0.6% | -1.3% | +1.4% | -3.0% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.47 | 0.53 | +11.9% | -0.4% | -2.6% | +0.3% | -2.8% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 0.39 | 0.47 | +19.5% | +5.7% | +6.3% | +6.0% | -2.3% |
| 2021-05-11 beat | 0.26 | 0.39 | +51.9% | -13.1% | -12.0% | +2.2% | -1.1% |
| 2021-02-09 beat | 0.29 | 0.38 | +33.1% | +8.1% | +24.9% | -10.5% | +0.9% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.39 | 0.42 | +8.1% | -14.5% | -18.6% | -6.6% | +4.7% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.06 | 0.60 | +948.6% | +2.8% | -2.6% | +0.1% | +10.2% |
| 2020-04-30 miss | 0.12 | 0.05 | -57.6% | -0.6% | -4.3% | -6.3% | +3.5% |
| 2020-02-07 beat | 0.51 | 0.51 | +0.5% | +0.6% | -1.5% | +0.7% | -20.3% |
| 2019-10-31 miss | 0.54 | 0.54 | -0.1% | -9.9% | -5.1% | +5.1% | -0.1% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +1.3% | +1.9% | -6.5% | -0.4% | -9.2% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +6.3% | +1.5% | -5.0% | +1.7% | -13.5% |
| 2019-02-07 beat | 0.46 | 0.48 | +3.4% | +7.1% | +20.2% | +0.0% | -4.4% |
| 2018-11-01 miss | 0.55 | 0.55 | -0.0% | -3.3% | -5.5% | +3.0% | -0.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.