HCA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | -0.7% | 7.2% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.5% | 2.8% | 57% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | -0.2% | 2.3% | 47% |
| 5-day | +1.6% | +1.9% | 8.6% | 67% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 beat | 7.50 | 7.59 | +1.2% | +1.3% | +1.5% | +5.3% | +12.3% |
| 2026-04-24 beat | 7.13 | 7.15 | +0.3% | -9.3% | -8.8% | +0.1% | -9.3% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 7.48 | 8.01 | +7.1% | +6.9% | +7.1% | -1.3% | +4.0% |
| 2025-10-24 beat | 5.73 | 6.96 | +21.6% | +3.9% | +1.6% | +2.8% | +12.1% |
| 2025-07-25 beat | 6.32 | 6.84 | +8.2% | -1.6% | -2.1% | +6.8% | +20.5% |
| 2025-04-25 beat | 5.75 | 6.45 | +12.1% | +2.6% | -4.0% | +6.1% | +15.5% |
| 2025-01-24 beat | 6.14 | 6.22 | +1.2% | -0.4% | -3.8% | +5.4% | +6.4% |
| 2024-10-25 miss | 4.98 | 4.90 | -1.6% | -7.2% | -8.9% | -1.7% | -10.4% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 4.93 | 5.50 | +11.6% | +6.5% | +4.5% | +6.2% | +10.7% |
| 2024-04-26 beat | 5.09 | 5.36 | +5.4% | -5.3% | -2.4% | +0.3% | +3.9% |
| 2024-01-30 beat | 5.05 | 5.90 | +16.8% | +4.6% | +5.2% | +1.7% | +3.4% |
| 2023-10-24 miss | 3.97 | 3.91 | -1.6% | -9.2% | -4.5% | -1.7% | +9.9% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 4.24 | 4.29 | +1.2% | -2.9% | -2.1% | -2.0% | -1.1% |
| 2023-04-21 beat | 3.92 | 4.93 | +25.8% | +6.2% | +3.9% | +2.2% | -1.5% |
| 2023-01-27 miss | 4.79 | 4.64 | -3.1% | -2.4% | +0.0% | +1.3% | -4.4% |
| 2022-10-21 beat | 3.86 | 3.93 | +1.8% | -12.0% | -5.7% | +13.7% | +16.4% |
| 2022-07-22 beat | 3.71 | 4.21 | +13.5% | +15.8% | +11.4% | +5.1% | +5.1% |
| 2022-04-22 miss | 4.24 | 4.12 | -2.7% | -10.3% | -21.8% | +1.9% | -2.7% |
| 2022-01-27 miss | 4.52 | 4.42 | -2.2% | -8.1% | -4.6% | +5.2% | +9.4% |
| 2021-10-22 beat | 4.01 | 4.57 | +13.8% | -5.2% | -2.6% | -1.0% | -5.0% |
| 2021-07-20 beat | 3.16 | 4.37 | +38.3% | +9.9% | +14.4% | -0.5% | -2.6% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | 3.33 | 4.14 | +24.4% | +2.8% | +2.0% | +0.2% | +2.4% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | 3.59 | 4.13 | +15.1% | +1.1% | -0.6% | +5.8% | +6.3% |
| 2020-10-26 miss | 2.26 | 1.92 | -15.0% | -1.5% | -0.8% | -3.6% | +14.5% |
| 2020-07-22 beat | -0.33 | 1.50 | +550.8% | +5.5% | +12.0% | +6.0% | +7.1% |
| 2020-04-21 miss | 2.65 | 2.33 | -12.1% | -6.0% | -4.5% | +3.6% | +0.9% |
| 2020-01-28 beat | 3.09 | 3.09 | +0.0% | +4.2% | +2.8% | -0.8% | -12.5% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 2.13 | 2.23 | +4.8% | +5.5% | +6.4% | -0.5% | +3.7% |
| 2019-07-30 miss | 2.46 | 2.21 | -10.1% | -10.2% | -9.1% | -6.4% | -10.4% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 2.33 | 2.97 | +27.2% | +4.0% | +1.4% | -0.6% | -3.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.