HCC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | -2.7% | 7.7% | 35% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +1.3% | 3.2% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.4% | 2.5% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.1% | -3.7% | 10.4% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 1.46 | 1.65 | +13.3% | +2.7% | +6.3% | +5.3% | +16.5% |
| 2026-04-30 miss | 1.44 | 1.37 | -4.5% | -7.5% | -4.1% | -0.4% | +27.9% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | 0.59 | 0.44 | -25.2% | -1.2% | +0.2% | +0.9% | -0.1% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | -0.51 | 0.70 | +236.3% | +11.7% | +23.1% | -1.1% | -2.8% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | -0.36 | 0.11 | +130.3% | +9.4% | +8.8% | +3.2% | -2.7% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | -0.23 | -0.16 | +29.7% | +3.0% | -5.0% | -0.3% | -0.7% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | 0.46 | 0.15 | -67.1% | -6.1% | -8.4% | +0.5% | -0.1% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.63 | 0.80 | +26.4% | -0.2% | -0.8% | +19.7% | +13.8% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.30 | 1.35 | +4.2% | -5.6% | -4.3% | -0.9% | -9.1% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 2.56 | 2.63 | +2.6% | +2.7% | -3.5% | +0.7% | +11.4% |
| 2024-02-14 miss | 2.64 | 2.49 | -5.5% | -6.1% | -3.3% | -1.6% | -8.2% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 1.71 | 1.85 | +8.0% | -3.1% | -2.1% | -4.8% | +17.6% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | 2.21 | 1.63 | -26.1% | -9.2% | -11.7% | +6.3% | +7.8% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 2.50 | 3.57 | +42.8% | +7.2% | +6.3% | +5.1% | -2.6% |
| 2023-02-15 miss | 2.77 | 1.90 | -31.5% | -8.2% | -1.2% | -7.8% | -16.3% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 1.72 | 2.10 | +21.8% | +2.8% | +3.4% | -5.4% | -1.2% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 5.24 | 5.87 | +12.0% | -2.3% | -9.6% | +11.9% | +11.9% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 3.76 | 2.97 | -21.1% | -4.6% | -5.2% | +0.1% | +26.6% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 2.58 | 3.17 | +22.9% | +4.1% | +0.1% | +16.3% | +21.9% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.78 | 0.97 | +23.8% | +4.7% | -5.5% | -9.4% | -7.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.