HIG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -1.2% | 3.3% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.3% | 1.1% | 65% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.9% | 1.2% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +1.6% | 4.1% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 3.14 | 3.42 | +8.9% | -3.7% | -1.2% | +1.0% | -1.1% |
| 2026-04-23 miss | 3.39 | 3.09 | -8.8% | -1.2% | -3.7% | +1.0% | +0.7% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 3.22 | 4.06 | +26.2% | +1.7% | +2.0% | +5.6% | +4.5% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 3.31 | 3.77 | +13.8% | -2.9% | -1.8% | +4.3% | +12.0% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 2.83 | 3.41 | +20.4% | +2.0% | +2.8% | +2.4% | +6.8% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 2.15 | 2.20 | +2.5% | -0.2% | -0.4% | +5.8% | +10.3% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 2.64 | 2.94 | +11.2% | -7.2% | -2.4% | +1.8% | +4.9% |
| 2024-10-24 miss | 2.53 | 2.53 | -0.0% | -5.6% | -6.8% | -1.9% | +8.2% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 2.25 | 2.50 | +11.2% | +4.2% | +7.1% | -0.9% | +3.1% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 2.44 | 2.34 | -4.2% | -2.1% | -3.8% | +2.7% | +5.3% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 2.41 | 3.06 | +26.8% | +2.3% | +3.7% | +0.5% | +6.1% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.97 | 2.29 | +16.5% | +2.4% | -2.1% | +5.3% | +9.6% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 1.85 | 1.88 | +1.7% | +0.6% | -5.0% | +0.4% | -0.4% |
| 2023-04-27 miss | 1.68 | 1.68 | -0.0% | -0.5% | +1.5% | -1.8% | -3.1% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 1.87 | 2.31 | +23.3% | -2.6% | +0.5% | +3.3% | +0.6% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.22 | 1.44 | +17.9% | -4.1% | +2.7% | +2.3% | +5.1% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 1.52 | 2.15 | +41.6% | +0.0% | +2.6% | -0.5% | +2.0% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 1.55 | 1.66 | +7.1% | -1.4% | -1.9% | +3.1% | +3.7% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 1.52 | 2.02 | +33.2% | -3.0% | -2.3% | +1.4% | -6.5% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.86 | 1.26 | +47.4% | +1.7% | -1.2% | -1.5% | -9.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.