HII chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.9% | -2.2% | 9.3% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.9% | +0.4% | 2.5% | 65% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.6% | 1.4% | 40% |
| 5-day | -2.8% | -1.4% | 8.1% | 35% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 3.82 | 5.27 | +38.0% | +9.5% | +14.1% | +0.6% | -8.0% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 3.73 | 3.79 | +1.7% | -6.9% | -10.2% | +2.3% | -9.7% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 3.85 | 4.04 | +5.0% | -14.2% | -10.6% | +10.1% | +16.3% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 3.40 | 3.68 | +8.3% | +5.6% | +6.9% | -4.3% | -3.9% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 3.43 | 3.86 | +12.5% | +7.8% | +7.9% | -4.5% | -2.9% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 2.81 | 3.79 | +35.0% | +3.3% | -1.2% | +2.4% | -2.1% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 3.09 | 3.15 | +2.0% | -12.5% | -18.3% | +0.7% | +23.3% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | 3.75 | 2.56 | -31.7% | -14.2% | -26.2% | +7.0% | +5.3% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 3.48 | 4.38 | +25.7% | +1.2% | -4.6% | -3.9% | +5.9% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 3.48 | 3.87 | +11.3% | -5.3% | -11.5% | +2.4% | +2.1% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 4.26 | 6.90 | +61.9% | +2.0% | +3.4% | +1.6% | +10.7% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 3.40 | 3.70 | +8.9% | +3.6% | +5.8% | -2.4% | +3.7% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 3.03 | 3.27 | +7.8% | +0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -2.4% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 2.86 | 3.23 | +12.9% | +2.2% | -2.1% | +2.1% | +7.8% |
| 2023-02-09 miss | 3.28 | 3.07 | -6.5% | -2.1% | -2.3% | -0.7% | -5.1% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 3.41 | 3.44 | +1.0% | -3.3% | -3.8% | +0.0% | -3.4% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 3.44 | 4.44 | +29.0% | +0.6% | +4.6% | -0.6% | -0.9% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 2.99 | 3.50 | +17.1% | -1.7% | -1.1% | -7.3% | -3.3% |
| 2022-02-10 miss | 2.97 | 2.84 | -4.5% | -2.8% | -4.0% | +2.9% | +12.4% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 3.06 | 3.65 | +19.1% | +0.5% | -4.3% | -1.3% | -2.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.