HII chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -5.4% | -7.4% | 12.5% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +1.3% | +1.0% | 3.3% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 1.5% | 40% |
| 5-day | -4.5% | -4.8% | 10.6% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 3.82 | 5.27 | +38.0% | +9.5% | +14.1% | +0.6% | -8.0% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 3.73 | 3.79 | +1.7% | -6.9% | -10.2% | +2.3% | -9.7% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 3.85 | 4.04 | +5.0% | -14.2% | -10.6% | +10.1% | +16.3% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 3.40 | 3.68 | +8.3% | +5.6% | +6.9% | -4.3% | -3.9% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 3.43 | 3.86 | +12.5% | +7.8% | +7.9% | -4.5% | -2.9% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 2.81 | 3.79 | +35.0% | +3.3% | -1.2% | +2.4% | -2.1% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 3.09 | 3.15 | +2.0% | -12.5% | -18.3% | +0.7% | +23.3% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | 3.75 | 2.56 | -31.7% | -14.2% | -26.2% | +7.0% | +5.3% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 3.48 | 4.38 | +25.7% | +1.2% | -4.6% | -3.9% | +5.9% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 3.48 | 3.87 | +11.3% | -5.3% | -11.5% | +2.4% | +2.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.