HL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.9% | +0.2% | 8.8% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.6% | 5.7% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +1.0% | +0.2% | 3.2% | 50% |
| 5-day | +4.9% | +3.9% | 13.7% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -4.6% | +7.0% | +7.5% | +9.4% | +28.2% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 0.24 | 0.24 | -0.8% | +8.8% | +6.5% | +16.0% | -18.6% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 0.18 | 0.22 | +20.4% | +8.9% | +3.7% | +5.9% | -20.0% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.09 | 0.12 | +26.4% | +14.1% | +11.9% | +9.5% | +17.0% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.05 | 0.08 | +48.8% | +13.9% | +18.2% | +6.1% | +40.2% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -19.8% | -2.0% | -17.0% | +13.4% | +27.1% |
| 2025-02-12 miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -22.5% | +0.5% | +1.3% | -18.1% | -7.7% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | 0.04 | 0.03 | -25.0% | -1.6% | -2.9% | -7.0% | -2.5% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 0.03 | 0.02 | -33.3% | +3.1% | -0.8% | +8.7% | +13.3% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | -0.01 | 0.01 | +175.9% | +3.1% | +11.4% | +0.4% | -2.2% |
| 2024-02-14 miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -49.6% | +2.6% | +5.2% | -0.3% | +18.2% |
| 2023-11-06 miss | -0.01 | -0.01 | -49.7% | -3.3% | -2.6% | +3.7% | +17.1% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | — | 0.03 | +4861.9% | -1.9% | -8.9% | -4.5% | -14.5% |
| 2023-05-10 miss | 0.02 | 0.01 | -50.6% | +1.0% | -5.5% | -6.5% | -8.1% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | — | 0.02 | +1433.3% | -4.4% | -9.4% | -2.0% | +9.2% |
| 2022-11-09 beat | -0.02 | -0.02 | +12.3% | -2.4% | -8.7% | +9.9% | +22.2% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +86.3% | +1.6% | +7.5% | -4.6% | -17.7% |
| 2022-05-10 miss | 0.03 | 0.02 | -25.1% | +2.9% | -4.0% | +7.1% | +6.0% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 0.02 | 0.08 | +257.9% | +4.1% | +8.2% | +17.6% | +21.6% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.01 | 0.05 | +395.5% | +0.5% | -3.2% | +13.0% | -8.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.