HL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +0.4% | 7.3% | 52% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.6% | 4.5% | 42% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 4.9% | 48% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +0.2% | 12.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -4.6% | +7.0% | +7.5% | +9.4% | +28.2% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 0.24 | 0.24 | -0.8% | +8.8% | +6.5% | +16.0% | -18.6% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 0.18 | 0.22 | +20.4% | +8.9% | +3.7% | +5.9% | -20.0% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.09 | 0.12 | +26.4% | +14.1% | +11.9% | +9.5% | +17.0% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.05 | 0.08 | +48.8% | +13.9% | +18.2% | +6.1% | +40.2% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -19.8% | -2.0% | -17.0% | +13.4% | +27.1% |
| 2025-02-12 miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -22.5% | +0.5% | +1.3% | -18.1% | -7.7% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | 0.04 | 0.03 | -25.0% | -1.6% | -2.9% | -7.0% | -2.5% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 0.03 | 0.02 | -33.3% | +3.1% | -0.8% | +8.7% | +13.3% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | -0.01 | 0.01 | +175.9% | +3.1% | +11.4% | +0.4% | -2.2% |
| 2024-02-14 miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -49.6% | +2.6% | +5.2% | -0.3% | +18.2% |
| 2023-11-06 miss | -0.01 | -0.01 | -49.7% | -3.3% | -2.6% | +3.7% | +17.1% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | — | 0.03 | +4861.9% | -1.9% | -8.9% | -4.5% | -14.5% |
| 2023-05-10 miss | 0.02 | 0.01 | -50.6% | +1.0% | -5.5% | -6.5% | -8.1% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | — | 0.02 | +1433.3% | -4.4% | -9.4% | -2.0% | +9.2% |
| 2022-11-09 beat | -0.02 | -0.02 | +12.3% | -2.4% | -8.7% | +9.9% | +22.2% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +86.3% | +1.6% | +7.5% | -4.6% | -17.7% |
| 2022-05-10 miss | 0.03 | 0.02 | -25.1% | +2.9% | -4.0% | +7.1% | +6.0% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 0.02 | 0.08 | +257.9% | +4.1% | +8.2% | +17.6% | +21.6% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.01 | 0.05 | +395.5% | +0.5% | -3.2% | +13.0% | -8.6% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +12.7% | -0.8% | +0.6% | -5.4% | +0.9% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 0.04 | 0.06 | +59.5% | +2.6% | +16.6% | -2.2% | +24.6% |
| 2021-02-18 miss | 0.02 | 0.02 | -15.5% | -1.5% | -5.7% | +21.7% | +14.8% |
| 2020-11-06 beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +5.5% | -8.4% | -7.2% | +7.7% | -2.5% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | — | 0.01 | +400.0% | +0.9% | +3.6% | -8.1% | -16.1% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | — | -0.03 | -500.0% | -2.7% | -2.3% | +5.2% | +31.9% |
| 2020-02-06 miss | 0.01 | — | -100.0% | +1.9% | +11.4% | -13.7% | -34.4% |
| 2019-11-07 miss | — | -0.02 | -366.2% | -4.6% | -5.9% | +7.6% | +24.2% |
| 2019-08-07 miss | -0.05 | -0.07 | -53.7% | +4.0% | -16.5% | -13.8% | +7.8% |
| 2019-05-09 miss | -0.02 | -0.04 | -116.2% | -2.0% | -13.2% | -14.7% | -18.1% |
| 2019-02-21 miss | -0.05 | -0.06 | -11.6% | -5.8% | -6.5% | -12.4% | -11.3% |
| 2018-11-08 miss | -0.02 | -0.06 | -144.5% | -2.1% | +0.8% | +2.4% | -5.3% |
| 2018-08-09 beat | — | 0.01 | +762.1% | +3.8% | +8.4% | -15.4% | -12.9% |
| 2018-05-10 beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +279.5% | +0.5% | +0.3% | -0.3% | -3.5% |
| 2018-02-15 beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +0.8% | -0.5% | -2.7% | -3.1% | -14.8% |
| 2017-11-07 beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +44.5% | +2.7% | +1.8% | -18.3% | -24.6% |
| 2017-08-03 miss | — | -0.04 | -66766.7% | -2.4% | -6.3% | -1.8% | +4.7% |
| 2017-05-08 beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +23.8% | +0.0% | +2.5% | +7.6% | +8.1% |
| 2017-02-23 miss | 0.04 | 0.03 | -30.3% | +2.2% | -4.6% | -15.0% | -16.6% |
| 2016-11-08 beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +9.8% | -0.3% | +8.3% | -12.0% | -11.9% |
| 2016-08-04 beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +52.7% | +2.6% | +2.5% | +7.1% | -10.6% |
| 2016-05-05 beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +68.8% | +4.1% | +3.9% | +6.2% | +10.7% |
| 2016-02-23 beat | -0.02 | 0.02 | +192.3% | +0.4% | +2.6% | +5.0% | +10.0% |
| 2015-11-04 miss | -0.04 | -0.05 | -20.5% | +2.8% | +2.8% | -14.2% | -5.0% |
| 2015-08-06 miss | -0.02 | -0.05 | -191.7% | -2.1% | -2.1% | +12.6% | +2.6% |
| 2015-05-07 miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -40.5% | -1.0% | +2.0% | +6.2% | -0.3% |
| 2015-02-18 beat | — | 0.02 | +817.4% | +1.3% | +5.0% | -0.3% | -6.6% |
| 2014-11-05 miss | 0.01 | -0.01 | -297.2% | -1.4% | -6.0% | +16.2% | +23.0% |
| 2014-07-31 miss | 0.01 | — | -139.5% | -1.8% | -4.5% | +0.6% | +3.5% |
| 2014-05-05 beat | — | 0.01 | +698.8% | +1.6% | -0.3% | +1.6% | -6.2% |
| 2014-02-19 miss | — | — | -156.2% | +3.9% | -4.7% | -2.3% | -2.0% |
| 2013-11-05 miss | -0.02 | -0.02 | -13.2% | +0.6% | -3.5% | +0.3% | -7.6% |
| 2013-08-08 miss | 0.01 | -0.03 | -647.5% | +0.7% | +10.5% | +15.0% | +2.4% |
| 2013-05-10 miss | 0.04 | 0.01 | -72.8% | -0.6% | -2.1% | -1.9% | +8.4% |
| 2013-02-25 miss | 0.04 | 0.03 | -23.1% | +1.2% | +0.8% | -17.1% | -19.1% |
| 2012-11-06 miss | 0.04 | 0.01 | -76.1% | +0.0% | -6.5% | -1.9% | -5.4% |
| 2012-08-07 miss | 0.05 | 0.02 | -58.0% | +1.9% | -1.3% | -1.3% | +19.2% |
| 2012-05-08 beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +18.5% | +0.5% | +5.7% | -8.8% | +9.8% |
| 2012-02-21 miss | 0.07 | 0.06 | -16.9% | +4.2% | +9.2% | -1.8% | -16.6% |
| 2011-11-08 miss | 0.14 | 0.12 | -13.2% | +2.4% | +2.1% | -4.5% | -7.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.