HLT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.9% | +0.7% | 3.2% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 1.5% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.5% | 2.0% | 63% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | +0.3% | 5.8% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 2.27 | 2.29 | +0.8% | -3.1% | -2.5% | -3.2% | +3.1% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 1.97 | 2.01 | +1.8% | -2.7% | -2.7% | -3.3% | +4.4% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | 2.02 | 2.08 | +3.2% | -0.6% | +0.4% | -3.8% | -10.3% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 2.05 | 2.11 | +3.0% | +3.0% | +3.4% | -5.3% | -3.9% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 2.04 | 2.20 | +7.6% | -3.3% | -2.6% | +2.4% | +0.9% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 1.61 | 1.72 | +7.0% | +1.4% | +2.2% | +4.5% | +9.7% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.68 | 1.76 | +4.5% | -0.1% | +4.9% | -0.3% | -11.6% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 1.84 | 1.92 | +4.2% | -0.3% | -1.9% | +2.1% | +7.9% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 1.86 | 1.91 | +2.6% | +0.3% | -1.7% | +2.1% | +4.7% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 1.42 | 1.53 | +8.0% | +4.3% | +3.9% | -3.4% | -2.3% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 1.57 | 1.68 | +7.1% | -1.1% | +0.7% | -1.7% | +4.9% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 1.66 | 1.67 | +0.3% | -0.4% | +0.7% | +0.3% | +12.7% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 1.58 | 1.63 | +3.2% | +0.4% | -0.6% | +2.0% | -2.1% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 1.14 | 1.24 | +9.2% | +0.8% | -3.4% | +3.1% | -1.0% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 1.22 | 1.59 | +30.1% | +1.7% | +2.4% | -1.7% | -8.8% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 1.24 | 1.31 | +5.6% | +0.7% | -0.5% | -0.2% | +6.4% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 1.05 | 1.29 | +23.4% | +5.1% | +7.5% | +1.3% | +5.3% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 0.66 | 0.71 | +7.8% | -1.5% | -4.2% | -7.5% | -4.5% |
| 2022-02-16 miss | 0.73 | 0.72 | -1.8% | -0.1% | -1.1% | -6.6% | -2.9% |
| 2021-10-27 miss | 0.84 | 0.78 | -6.6% | -2.3% | +1.9% | -1.3% | -7.5% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.40 | 0.56 | +41.4% | +0.4% | +3.8% | -6.0% | -5.2% |
| 2021-05-05 miss | 0.10 | 0.02 | -80.0% | -0.9% | -4.4% | -3.5% | +1.7% |
| 2021-02-17 miss | 0.02 | -0.10 | -525.0% | -2.4% | -1.9% | +14.2% | +12.8% |
| 2020-11-04 beat | -0.04 | 0.06 | +268.7% | +0.7% | +2.7% | +11.5% | +19.1% |
| 2020-08-06 miss | -0.30 | -0.61 | -103.5% | -0.9% | +3.4% | +3.4% | +10.0% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | 0.51 | 0.74 | +45.5% | +1.7% | +1.6% | -5.2% | +24.8% |
| 2020-02-11 beat | 0.96 | 1.00 | +4.0% | -0.8% | +1.4% | -0.2% | -32.1% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | 1.02 | 1.05 | +2.8% | +0.8% | +5.6% | +1.6% | +3.5% |
| 2019-07-24 beat | 1.02 | 1.06 | +4.0% | +0.5% | +0.2% | +1.3% | -3.0% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 0.76 | 0.80 | +5.1% | +4.4% | +6.4% | -2.1% | -3.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.