HOMB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +1.0% | 2.8% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +1.4% | +1.2% | 1.7% | 80% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.0% | 1.7% | 50% |
| 5-day | +2.5% | +2.1% | 4.1% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +5.1% | +2.0% | +4.8% | +0.1% | +2.3% |
| 2026-04-15 | 0.59 | — | — | -3.5% | -3.4% | +0.3% | -4.0% |
| 2026-01-14 beat | 0.60 | 0.60 | +0.2% | -1.3% | +0.9% | -1.8% | +2.0% |
| 2025-10-15 beat | 0.60 | 0.61 | +2.2% | -1.2% | -3.4% | +2.5% | +2.9% |
| 2025-07-16 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +2.2% | +2.0% | +2.1% | -1.1% | -3.1% |
| 2025-04-16 beat | 0.54 | 0.56 | +4.3% | +2.6% | +1.8% | +4.6% | +10.4% |
| 2025-01-15 miss | 0.52 | 0.50 | -3.4% | -3.1% | +1.1% | +2.1% | +2.4% |
| 2024-10-16 miss | 0.53 | 0.50 | -5.7% | -4.9% | -1.7% | +0.6% | +14.3% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +6.6% | +0.2% | -0.5% | +6.2% | -0.8% |
| 2024-04-18 beat | 0.46 | 0.49 | +7.5% | +4.9% | +3.5% | +5.6% | +6.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.