HPP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.6% | +5.5% | 9.2% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -3.8% | -4.2% | 4.1% | 20% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +1.2% | 4.7% | 60% |
| 5-day | -0.8% | -1.0% | 11.1% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | -0.73 | -1.62 | -121.2% | -4.7% | +7.1% | -4.4% | -14.9% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | -0.94 | -0.82 | +12.8% | +1.0% | +10.7% | +0.0% | +24.0% |
| 2026-02-26 miss | -0.47 | -4.31 | -817.0% | +7.7% | +20.9% | -2.7% | -27.2% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | -1.54 | -0.84 | +45.4% | -3.1% | +7.1% | -10.8% | -20.1% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | -1.75 | -2.87 | -64.0% | +3.2% | +6.7% | -2.6% | +14.1% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | -2.89 | -3.71 | -28.2% | +4.4% | -0.4% | -6.2% | +0.9% |
| 2025-02-20 miss | -3.04 | -8.26 | -171.3% | +0.3% | -3.5% | +9.3% | -2.0% |
| 2024-11-12 miss | -2.73 | -2.97 | -9.0% | +1.5% | +4.2% | -23.3% | -21.9% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | -2.66 | -2.22 | +16.7% | -12.5% | -12.3% | -0.4% | +1.1% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | -3.36 | -2.50 | +25.7% | -0.5% | -4.4% | -0.2% | -11.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.