HRB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.8% | +0.3% | 9.6% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.6% | 2.8% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +1.0% | +1.2% | 2.2% | 70% |
| 5-day | +4.4% | +3.4% | 13.9% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 beat | 2.21 | 2.38 | +7.7% | +16.8% | +16.1% | -3.6% | -16.7% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 5.77 | 6.02 | +4.3% | +6.7% | +23.8% | -1.6% | +3.4% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | -1.89 | -1.84 | +2.8% | +2.9% | -7.1% | -13.7% | -6.7% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | -1.35 | -1.20 | +11.3% | +0.7% | -3.5% | -10.8% | -15.7% |
| 2025-08-12 miss | 2.83 | 2.27 | -19.9% | -1.8% | -3.1% | +3.0% | +2.6% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 5.17 | 5.38 | +4.1% | +3.8% | -5.3% | -2.8% | -3.7% |
| 2025-02-04 miss | -1.61 | -1.73 | -7.3% | -5.1% | -0.1% | -5.3% | +2.1% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | -1.21 | -1.17 | +3.3% | -2.3% | -6.6% | +1.5% | -4.8% |
| 2024-08-15 beat | 1.74 | 1.89 | +8.5% | +12.7% | +12.1% | -1.7% | -1.5% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 4.62 | 4.94 | +7.0% | +6.7% | +8.8% | -2.3% | -6.9% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | -1.56 | -1.27 | +18.7% | -4.1% | -1.9% | +1.7% | +3.7% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | -1.13 | -1.05 | +7.3% | -0.5% | +0.7% | +9.1% | +8.8% |
| 2023-08-15 beat | 1.88 | 2.05 | +9.0% | +2.8% | +9.7% | +2.2% | +2.2% |
| 2023-05-09 miss | 4.44 | 4.20 | -5.3% | -6.0% | -4.7% | -3.8% | +1.7% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | -1.48 | -1.37 | +7.6% | +1.7% | -0.3% | +0.8% | -9.7% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | -1.08 | -0.99 | +8.8% | -2.8% | -6.9% | +4.3% | +10.0% |
| 2022-08-09 beat | 1.24 | 1.43 | +14.9% | +5.0% | +15.3% | +6.4% | -1.1% |
| 2022-05-10 beat | 3.75 | 4.11 | +9.5% | +5.2% | +19.5% | +17.3% | +24.8% |
| 2022-02-01 beat | -1.24 | -1.02 | +17.6% | +0.0% | +3.5% | +3.0% | +6.7% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | -1.03 | -0.78 | +24.0% | +1.1% | +6.3% | +3.2% | -3.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.