HRB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +0.0% | 8.4% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.2% | 2.3% | 52% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.5% | 1.8% | 62% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | +0.2% | 10.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 beat | 2.21 | 2.38 | +7.7% | +16.8% | +16.1% | -3.6% | -16.7% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 5.77 | 6.02 | +4.3% | +6.7% | +23.8% | -1.6% | +3.4% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | -1.89 | -1.84 | +2.8% | +2.9% | -7.1% | -13.7% | -6.7% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | -1.35 | -1.20 | +11.3% | +0.7% | -3.5% | -10.8% | -15.7% |
| 2025-08-12 miss | 2.83 | 2.27 | -19.9% | -1.8% | -3.1% | +3.0% | +2.6% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 5.17 | 5.38 | +4.1% | +3.8% | -5.3% | -2.8% | -3.7% |
| 2025-02-04 miss | -1.61 | -1.73 | -7.3% | -5.1% | -0.1% | -5.3% | +2.1% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | -1.21 | -1.17 | +3.3% | -2.3% | -6.6% | +1.5% | -4.8% |
| 2024-08-15 beat | 1.74 | 1.89 | +8.5% | +12.7% | +12.1% | -1.7% | -1.5% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 4.62 | 4.94 | +7.0% | +6.7% | +8.8% | -2.3% | -6.9% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | -1.56 | -1.27 | +18.7% | -4.1% | -1.9% | +1.7% | +3.7% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | -1.13 | -1.05 | +7.3% | -0.5% | +0.7% | +9.1% | +8.8% |
| 2023-08-15 beat | 1.88 | 2.05 | +9.0% | +2.8% | +9.7% | +2.2% | +2.2% |
| 2023-05-09 miss | 4.44 | 4.20 | -5.3% | -6.0% | -4.7% | -3.8% | +1.7% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | -1.48 | -1.37 | +7.6% | +1.7% | -0.3% | +0.8% | -9.7% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | -1.08 | -0.99 | +8.8% | -2.8% | -6.9% | +4.3% | +10.0% |
| 2022-08-09 beat | 1.24 | 1.43 | +14.9% | +5.0% | +15.3% | +6.4% | -1.1% |
| 2022-05-10 beat | 3.75 | 4.11 | +9.5% | +5.2% | +19.5% | +17.3% | +24.8% |
| 2022-02-01 beat | -1.24 | -1.02 | +17.6% | +0.0% | +3.5% | +3.0% | +6.7% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | -1.03 | -0.78 | +24.0% | +1.1% | +6.3% | +3.2% | -3.6% |
| 2021-03-09 beat | -1.29 | -1.17 | +9.1% | -0.1% | +4.3% | +0.8% | +10.9% |
| 2020-12-08 miss | -0.95 | -1.09 | -14.6% | -3.1% | -7.9% | -1.2% | -2.4% |
| 2020-09-01 beat | 0.51 | 0.55 | +7.8% | -2.5% | +1.1% | -0.5% | +11.5% |
| 2020-06-16 beat | 2.97 | 3.01 | +1.4% | +1.5% | -9.5% | -8.9% | -9.7% |
| 2020-03-05 beat | -0.59 | -0.59 | +0.6% | -8.3% | -5.0% | -11.8% | -31.5% |
| 2019-12-04 miss | -0.92 | -0.93 | -1.4% | +0.3% | -0.1% | +0.6% | +0.7% |
| 2019-08-28 beat | -0.75 | -0.72 | +4.6% | -3.4% | -9.3% | -0.9% | -3.1% |
| 2019-06-11 beat | 4.15 | 4.32 | +4.1% | +2.0% | +3.1% | +2.5% | +1.3% |
| 2019-03-07 miss | -0.55 | -0.58 | -5.5% | +0.0% | +2.7% | +0.4% | +3.2% |
| 2018-12-06 beat | -0.93 | -0.83 | +10.3% | -0.7% | +0.7% | -2.4% | -8.1% |
| 2018-08-28 beat | -0.77 | -0.72 | +6.7% | -0.5% | +0.8% | +0.6% | -2.1% |
| 2018-06-12 beat | 5.27 | 5.43 | +3.0% | -19.5% | -17.9% | -0.9% | -1.5% |
| 2018-03-06 beat | -1.31 | -1.16 | +11.4% | +12.1% | +11.5% | -7.3% | -11.2% |
| 2017-12-06 beat | -0.72 | -0.71 | +1.6% | +0.8% | +10.3% | -5.8% | -9.2% |
| 2017-08-29 beat | -0.62 | -0.62 | +0.5% | -7.6% | -8.3% | -4.2% | -1.2% |
| 2017-06-13 beat | 3.53 | 3.76 | +6.6% | +7.7% | +7.9% | +6.0% | +4.8% |
| 2017-03-07 beat | -0.52 | -0.49 | +6.6% | +9.5% | +14.9% | +2.0% | -1.5% |
| 2016-12-07 beat | -0.68 | -0.67 | +0.8% | -0.7% | -2.4% | +1.3% | +3.8% |
| 2016-08-30 miss | -0.54 | -0.55 | -1.8% | -4.5% | -10.5% | +2.4% | +6.9% |
| 2016-06-09 miss | 3.17 | 3.16 | -0.3% | +1.0% | +12.5% | -4.2% | -2.6% |
| 2016-03-03 miss | -0.24 | -0.34 | -42.9% | -11.0% | -15.6% | +1.5% | -8.4% |
| 2015-12-07 miss | -0.48 | -0.51 | -5.8% | -4.6% | -7.0% | -4.9% | -5.9% |
| 2015-09-01 beat | -0.39 | -0.35 | +11.2% | +8.6% | +7.5% | +0.8% | +3.2% |
| 2015-06-08 beat | 2.68 | 2.73 | +1.8% | -1.8% | +2.3% | -4.7% | -4.7% |
| 2015-03-04 beat | -0.15 | -0.13 | +15.2% | -1.7% | -4.2% | +0.2% | +0.0% |
| 2014-12-08 miss | -0.42 | -0.45 | -7.1% | -5.4% | -5.0% | -2.3% | +3.0% |
| 2014-09-03 miss | -0.38 | -0.40 | -5.3% | +0.1% | -2.1% | -1.1% | -3.5% |
| 2014-06-11 beat | 3.23 | 3.26 | +0.9% | +4.0% | +4.6% | +4.0% | +2.6% |
| 2014-03-06 miss | -0.14 | -0.77 | -447.4% | -2.0% | -1.8% | -3.4% | -6.1% |
| 2013-12-10 miss | -0.37 | -0.42 | -13.5% | -1.5% | -2.7% | +0.9% | +5.0% |
| 2013-09-03 miss | -0.36 | -0.40 | -10.0% | -2.8% | -0.6% | -2.2% | +0.9% |
| 2013-06-12 miss | 2.60 | 2.54 | -2.2% | -0.9% | +0.3% | -2.4% | +4.5% |
| 2013-03-07 miss | -0.02 | -0.22 | -1122.2% | +7.5% | +9.2% | +0.8% | +3.7% |
| 2012-12-06 beat | -0.40 | -0.37 | +7.5% | +0.1% | +3.9% | +2.3% | +4.4% |
| 2012-09-05 miss | -0.38 | -0.38 | -0.7% | +1.0% | +0.1% | +3.1% | +10.5% |
| 2012-06-26 beat | 2.02 | 2.06 | +2.1% | +2.9% | +3.8% | +3.1% | +3.4% |
| 2012-03-07 miss | 0.09 | -0.01 | -110.6% | -4.5% | +0.6% | +4.8% | +4.9% |
| 2011-12-01 miss | -0.35 | -0.38 | -8.2% | -3.6% | -6.4% | +5.9% | +7.3% |
| 2011-09-01 beat | -0.40 | -0.37 | +7.2% | -8.7% | -11.7% | -1.1% | +0.7% |
| 2011-06-23 beat | 2.12 | 2.14 | +0.9% | +1.8% | -1.4% | +2.9% | -3.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.