HSBC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | -0.8% | 4.1% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -1.1% | 2.8% | 33% |
| Day 3 | -0.8% | -0.8% | 1.3% | 33% |
| 5-day | -0.8% | -0.5% | 3.4% | 33% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 2.33 | 2.25 | -3.2% | -1.1% | -1.7% | -2.7% | -1.0% |
| 2026-05-04 beat | 2.16 | 2.20 | +1.8% | -4.1% | -3.0% | +2.9% | +6.0% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 1.80 | 1.85 | +3.0% | +5.4% | +7.2% | -7.4% | -15.5% |
| 2025-02-18 miss | 1.53 | 0.05 | -96.7% | -0.1% | +0.1% | +2.2% | +1.1% |
| 2013-08-05 miss | 3.10 | 1.08 | -65.1% | -5.1% | -4.5% | -0.5% | -1.9% |
| 2012-07-30 miss | 2.50 | 1.20 | -52.0% | +0.9% | +1.4% | +1.8% | +3.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.