HWM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.1% | +2.4% | 7.2% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.9% | +1.4% | 2.7% | 52% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 2.2% | 52% |
| 5-day | +3.4% | +2.4% | 8.8% | 68% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.25 | 1.33 | +6.7% | +2.6% | -0.6% | -2.4% | -10.5% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 1.11 | 1.22 | +10.3% | +7.6% | +6.3% | -0.1% | -9.5% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 0.97 | 1.05 | +8.7% | +2.1% | +6.0% | +5.4% | -1.7% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.91 | 0.95 | +4.5% | -1.2% | -0.8% | +2.0% | -1.5% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.87 | 0.91 | +4.2% | -2.3% | -6.4% | +1.0% | -3.2% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.78 | 0.86 | +10.7% | +5.7% | +6.8% | +6.4% | +16.6% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 0.72 | 0.74 | +2.8% | -1.9% | +0.0% | +1.4% | +0.9% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.65 | 0.71 | +8.6% | +8.7% | +12.4% | +0.8% | +3.0% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.60 | 0.67 | +11.6% | +11.7% | +13.2% | -5.0% | +2.9% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.52 | 0.57 | +9.8% | +10.8% | +15.5% | +6.4% | +9.8% |
| 2024-02-13 beat | 0.46 | 0.53 | +14.2% | +2.0% | +5.4% | +2.5% | +5.7% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +7.2% | +7.6% | +7.9% | +1.1% | +9.7% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +1.6% | -2.8% | -4.2% | +3.1% | +1.5% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +11.1% | +2.4% | +1.5% | -0.4% | -2.7% |
| 2023-02-14 beat | 0.38 | 0.38 | +0.6% | -1.9% | +4.7% | -2.4% | -6.0% |
| 2022-10-31 beat | 0.36 | 0.36 | +0.4% | -4.1% | -1.7% | +3.0% | +6.0% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +6.7% | -1.3% | -0.3% | +3.0% | -5.6% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +5.3% | +1.5% | +3.4% | -2.9% | +5.7% |
| 2022-02-02 beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +4.1% | +1.5% | +3.1% | +5.7% | +3.8% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +6.5% | -0.9% | +1.9% | +3.2% | -1.8% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 0.22 | 0.22 | +1.2% | -3.0% | -7.0% | +7.5% | +3.9% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +13.3% | -0.7% | -0.4% | +0.4% | +9.6% |
| 2021-02-03 beat | 0.17 | 0.21 | +23.5% | -3.1% | +2.9% | +5.5% | +13.1% |
| 2020-11-09 miss | 0.05 | 0.03 | -39.2% | +6.5% | +19.0% | +3.3% | +13.5% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.06 | 0.12 | +104.8% | -4.7% | +7.5% | +1.2% | +2.4% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 0.46 | 0.62 | +34.8% | +4.2% | +2.2% | -8.9% | +27.2% |
| 2020-01-27 miss | 0.54 | 0.53 | -1.5% | -1.9% | +5.4% | -2.0% | +3.8% |
| 2019-11-05 beat | 0.52 | 0.58 | +11.5% | -1.8% | +2.5% | +0.0% | +3.3% |
| 2019-08-02 beat | 0.50 | 0.58 | +15.5% | +5.7% | -2.5% | +6.1% | +9.3% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +11.3% | +2.9% | +3.8% | +3.8% | +2.4% |
| 2019-02-08 beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +9.6% | +2.4% | -3.3% | +2.6% | +10.4% |
| 2018-10-30 beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +7.7% | +1.9% | +2.5% | +6.2% | +8.3% |
| 2018-07-31 beat | 0.29 | 0.37 | +27.1% | +2.1% | +4.0% | -3.4% | +2.2% |
| 2018-04-30 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +4.8% | -9.6% | -20.6% | -1.4% | +1.7% |
| 2018-02-05 beat | 0.24 | 0.31 | +31.2% | -5.9% | -8.9% | -6.3% | -7.2% |
| 2017-10-23 miss | 0.27 | 0.25 | -8.0% | +0.9% | -10.4% | +1.8% | -2.5% |
| 2017-08-01 miss | 0.43 | 0.32 | -25.6% | -0.5% | -0.9% | -0.9% | +2.4% |
| 2017-07-24 beat | 0.26 | 0.32 | +21.5% | +2.2% | -0.2% | -1.5% | +2.1% |
| 2017-04-25 beat | 0.24 | 0.33 | +40.2% | +0.3% | +1.9% | -2.6% | -1.1% |
| 2017-01-31 beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +13.8% | +2.1% | +10.9% | +8.0% | +11.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.