IBKR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | -0.9% | 4.2% | 37% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.5% | 1.9% | 43% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.4% | 1.9% | 37% |
| 5-day | -1.5% | -2.9% | 5.7% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | 0.64 | 0.69 | +8.0% | -0.9% | -1.0% | -7.7% | -3.9% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 0.60 | 0.60 | +0.1% | -2.0% | -1.9% | -1.4% | +7.3% |
| 2026-01-20 beat | 0.59 | 0.65 | +11.1% | +0.7% | +6.0% | -0.5% | -1.8% |
| 2025-10-16 beat | 0.54 | 0.57 | +6.0% | -2.7% | -3.3% | +3.8% | -4.3% |
| 2025-07-17 beat | 0.47 | 0.51 | +8.8% | +7.4% | +7.8% | +2.3% | -0.6% |
| 2025-04-15 miss | 0.48 | 0.47 | -2.7% | -8.1% | -9.0% | +7.1% | +32.5% |
| 2025-01-21 beat | 0.46 | 0.51 | +9.4% | +7.3% | +8.8% | +0.7% | +4.3% |
| 2024-10-15 miss | 0.45 | 0.44 | -3.8% | -3.1% | -4.1% | +0.4% | +21.2% |
| 2024-07-16 beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +1.2% | -1.9% | -0.2% | -4.3% | -2.5% |
| 2024-04-16 beat | 0.41 | 0.41 | +0.5% | +2.0% | +1.7% | +5.9% | +11.5% |
| 2024-01-16 miss | 0.39 | 0.38 | -1.7% | -3.5% | +2.3% | +2.9% | +17.3% |
| 2023-10-17 beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +2.5% | -4.1% | -4.1% | -3.8% | -5.3% |
| 2023-07-18 miss | 0.35 | 0.33 | -5.8% | -4.4% | -5.0% | +4.3% | +10.5% |
| 2023-04-18 miss | 0.35 | 0.34 | -4.5% | -2.6% | -0.8% | -8.5% | -10.0% |
| 2023-01-17 beat | 0.29 | 0.33 | +11.2% | +4.7% | +4.8% | -2.8% | +8.1% |
| 2022-10-18 beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +13.2% | +2.2% | +6.9% | +2.6% | -1.4% |
| 2022-07-19 miss | 0.23 | 0.21 | -6.9% | -0.5% | -1.1% | +1.5% | +12.9% |
| 2022-04-19 miss | 0.21 | 0.21 | -0.6% | -0.7% | +1.4% | -7.9% | -17.2% |
| 2022-01-18 beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +1.6% | +2.6% | +0.3% | -8.5% | -1.4% |
| 2021-10-19 beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +2.4% | -1.6% | +1.7% | -4.3% | -0.5% |
| 2021-07-20 miss | 0.21 | 0.21 | -1.7% | -1.8% | +0.5% | -2.4% | -3.6% |
| 2021-04-20 beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +8.5% | +0.1% | -1.1% | -2.0% | -9.1% |
| 2021-01-19 beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +17.4% | +0.3% | -2.3% | -7.3% | +9.5% |
| 2020-10-20 miss | 0.14 | 0.13 | -3.3% | -3.1% | -0.6% | -2.9% | +7.8% |
| 2020-07-20 beat | 0.08 | 0.14 | +81.0% | +0.2% | -0.3% | -3.5% | +2.2% |
| 2020-04-21 beat | 0.17 | 0.17 | +2.1% | -8.0% | -8.8% | +5.7% | -1.1% |
| 2020-01-21 miss | 0.15 | 0.14 | -3.3% | -1.7% | -3.2% | -2.5% | +11.9% |
| 2019-10-15 miss | 0.13 | 0.11 | -12.8% | -2.8% | -2.8% | -1.8% | +1.1% |
| 2019-07-16 miss | 0.14 | 0.11 | -21.1% | -0.6% | -2.4% | +1.6% | -7.3% |
| 2019-04-16 miss | 0.13 | -0.03 | -123.5% | +1.1% | -2.1% | +0.8% | +2.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.