ICE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.4% | 3.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 1.6% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.1% | 1.1% | 45% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | +0.8% | 5.5% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.84 | 1.90 | +3.4% | +0.5% | +1.3% | -4.2% | +3.9% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 2.26 | 2.35 | +3.9% | -0.7% | +1.2% | -1.3% | -8.3% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 1.67 | 1.71 | +2.2% | +2.3% | +2.1% | -11.0% | -1.5% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.61 | 1.71 | +6.4% | -2.7% | -1.4% | -0.7% | +5.7% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.77 | 1.81 | +2.3% | +0.0% | -0.5% | +1.7% | -4.5% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.70 | 1.72 | +1.0% | -1.0% | +1.7% | +3.3% | +5.5% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.49 | 1.52 | +2.0% | +3.0% | +4.3% | +0.5% | +0.9% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | 1.55 | 1.55 | -0.1% | -4.3% | -6.4% | +0.2% | +1.6% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.49 | 1.52 | +2.2% | -0.8% | -0.4% | +1.8% | +7.0% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 1.49 | 1.48 | -0.5% | +0.5% | -1.7% | +6.6% | +5.6% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 1.29 | 1.33 | +3.1% | +3.1% | +4.7% | +2.1% | +2.1% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 1.39 | 1.46 | +5.2% | -1.3% | -1.8% | +2.2% | +8.3% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 1.37 | 1.43 | +4.6% | -4.3% | -2.5% | +2.4% | +4.4% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 1.40 | 1.41 | +0.8% | -0.3% | +1.8% | +1.4% | +1.5% |
| 2023-02-02 miss | 1.26 | 1.25 | -1.0% | +1.2% | -0.6% | -0.7% | -4.7% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 1.27 | 1.31 | +3.4% | +0.0% | +3.1% | +7.4% | +12.2% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 1.27 | 1.32 | +4.0% | +3.7% | +4.3% | -0.8% | -5.7% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 1.42 | 1.43 | +0.7% | -1.5% | -7.5% | -6.0% | -0.8% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 1.32 | 1.34 | +1.8% | -1.4% | -0.9% | -0.9% | +3.5% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.23 | 1.30 | +5.8% | +0.1% | +1.9% | +0.8% | -2.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.