ICE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.0% | +0.4% | 2.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.7% | 1.7% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 0.8% | 60% |
| 5-day | -0.3% | +0.5% | 4.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.84 | 1.90 | +3.4% | +0.5% | +1.3% | -4.2% | +3.9% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 2.26 | 2.35 | +3.9% | -0.7% | +1.2% | -1.3% | -8.3% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 1.67 | 1.71 | +2.2% | +2.3% | +2.1% | -11.0% | -1.5% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.61 | 1.71 | +6.4% | -2.7% | -1.4% | -0.7% | +5.7% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.77 | 1.81 | +2.3% | +0.0% | -0.5% | +1.7% | -4.5% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.70 | 1.72 | +1.0% | -1.0% | +1.7% | +3.3% | +5.5% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.49 | 1.52 | +2.0% | +3.0% | +4.3% | +0.5% | +0.9% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | 1.55 | 1.55 | -0.1% | -4.3% | -6.4% | +0.2% | +1.6% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.49 | 1.52 | +2.2% | -0.8% | -0.4% | +1.8% | +7.0% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 1.49 | 1.48 | -0.5% | +0.5% | -1.7% | +6.6% | +5.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.