ICL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | -0.6% | 4.3% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.3% | 2.3% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.1% | 1.1% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +0.2% | 6.7% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +12.7% | +2.3% | +1.6% | +4.6% | +12.2% |
| 2026-02-18 miss | 0.09 | 0.09 | -3.2% | -4.2% | -4.8% | -7.3% | -5.6% |
| 2025-11-12 beat | 0.10 | 0.10 | +5.0% | -2.5% | -2.8% | -0.4% | -7.8% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +7.1% | +0.5% | -0.7% | +1.7% | +1.5% |
| 2025-05-19 miss | 0.09 | 0.09 | -1.9% | -1.3% | -2.2% | -2.3% | +2.7% |
| 2025-02-26 miss | 0.09 | 0.08 | -6.6% | -4.5% | -7.3% | +1.2% | -2.7% |
| 2024-11-11 beat | 0.08 | 0.11 | +35.8% | +4.8% | +6.0% | +2.7% | +16.6% |
| 2024-08-14 beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +16.1% | +4.0% | +6.3% | +0.2% | -0.5% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 0.09 | 0.09 | +5.8% | -0.8% | -0.6% | +0.0% | -4.4% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +30.3% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +5.5% | +4.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.