IEX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | +1.5% | 6.6% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.1% | 1.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.8% | -1.1% | 1.1% | 30% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +2.9% | 9.1% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 2.11 | 2.32 | +9.9% | +5.5% | +2.2% | +3.3% | +1.9% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 1.77 | 2.00 | +12.8% | +7.1% | +5.8% | +0.4% | -3.0% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 2.04 | 2.10 | +2.9% | -0.8% | +5.3% | -0.4% | -6.8% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 1.93 | 2.03 | +5.2% | +3.6% | +3.9% | -3.0% | +0.3% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.99 | 2.07 | +4.0% | -5.5% | -11.3% | -2.8% | +0.6% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.64 | 1.75 | +6.7% | +5.8% | +0.7% | +5.4% | +2.2% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 2.03 | 2.04 | +0.5% | -4.8% | -9.6% | -2.0% | -5.0% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 1.88 | 1.90 | +0.8% | +2.8% | +7.2% | +7.4% | +5.5% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 2.04 | 2.06 | +0.8% | -1.4% | -5.8% | -0.7% | +5.2% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 1.76 | 1.88 | +7.0% | -0.5% | -3.3% | -1.5% | -4.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.