IHG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | -1.3% | 4.0% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.2% | 2.4% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | -0.1% | 1.8% | 40% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | -1.8% | 4.1% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-08-06 miss | 0.60 | 0.51 | -15.0% | +4.3% | +5.8% | -1.4% | -5.9% |
| 2013-02-19 miss | 0.51 | 0.45 | -11.9% | -2.3% | -1.9% | -3.8% | -1.3% |
| 2012-11-06 beat | 0.52 | 0.57 | +8.7% | +0.9% | +1.6% | +0.7% | +6.8% |
| 2012-08-07 beat | 0.57 | 0.57 | +0.5% | +7.0% | +7.0% | -3.8% | -4.6% |
| 2012-05-09 miss | 0.39 | 0.39 | -0.7% | -2.6% | -0.4% | -2.0% | -1.8% |
| 2012-02-14 beat | 0.43 | 0.51 | +18.2% | -1.5% | -2.6% | +3.0% | +8.1% |
| 2011-11-08 beat | 0.48 | 0.55 | +13.9% | -3.2% | -1.3% | -1.5% | -2.7% |
| 2011-08-09 beat | 0.47 | 0.53 | +11.6% | +3.9% | +8.5% | -0.1% | -5.7% |
| 2011-05-10 beat | 0.30 | 0.36 | +20.5% | +2.5% | +4.1% | -4.2% | -8.2% |
| 2011-04-11 beat | 0.31 | 0.37 | +19.5% | -1.0% | -1.9% | +0.1% | +3.6% |
| 2010-11-09 beat | 0.40 | 0.40 | +1.5% | -1.7% | -3.3% | -1.5% | +8.8% |
| 2010-08-10 beat | 0.34 | 0.44 | +27.1% | -6.2% | -4.5% | -2.6% | -0.9% |
| 2010-05-11 beat | 0.16 | 0.26 | +63.5% | -1.6% | +0.4% | -2.4% | +2.1% |
| 2010-02-16 beat | 0.29 | 0.42 | +47.3% | -3.4% | -1.6% | -0.7% | +7.9% |
| 2009-11-10 beat | 0.41 | 0.48 | +18.9% | -2.9% | -2.1% | +4.6% | +4.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.