IKT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.0% | -2.5% | 5.1% | 31% |
| Day 2 | -1.2% | -1.0% | 4.7% | 38% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 4.6% | 42% |
| 5-day | -2.7% | -2.1% | 10.1% | 42% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 beat | -0.12 | -0.11 | +12.0% | +0.7% | +3.3% | — | — |
| 2026-08-11 miss | -0.09 | -0.11 | -17.9% | -2.9% | -2.0% | +2.1% | -2.5% |
| 2026-03-26 beat | -0.12 | -0.09 | +23.9% | +1.2% | +3.1% | +6.5% | +11.9% |
| 2025-11-14 | -0.13 | -0.13 | — | -1.3% | -0.7% | +2.0% | +4.6% |
| 2025-08-14 miss | -0.08 | -0.11 | -37.5% | +2.3% | +2.3% | +8.0% | -10.9% |
| 2025-05-14 miss | -0.09 | -0.15 | -57.9% | -2.4% | -4.2% | -9.4% | -4.4% |
| 2024-11-14 miss | -0.48 | -0.65 | -35.4% | +1.7% | -2.5% | -14.8% | +51.3% |
| 2024-08-14 beat | -0.67 | -0.66 | +1.5% | +2.3% | -5.4% | +11.4% | -5.7% |
| 2024-05-15 beat | -0.79 | -0.73 | +7.6% | -8.0% | -11.6% | +4.0% | -9.7% |
| 2024-03-27 beat | -0.85 | -0.64 | +24.7% | -5.2% | -6.1% | +1.9% | -26.4% |
| 2023-11-14 beat | -1.12 | -0.86 | +23.2% | -8.9% | -4.1% | -2.1% | +36.2% |
| 2023-08-14 miss | -0.92 | -1.11 | -20.6% | -1.6% | -6.0% | -12.8% | -28.2% |
| 2023-05-15 miss | -0.90 | -0.96 | -6.7% | +2.6% | +7.7% | -0.2% | -5.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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