ING chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.0% | +4.4% | 4.6% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.9% | 2.1% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +1.0% | 1.8% | 70% |
| 5-day | +5.3% | +6.2% | 5.5% | 80% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.74 | 0.77 | +4.0% | +6.1% | +7.5% | +2.2% | +0.9% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.60 | 0.63 | +6.0% | +2.7% | +4.6% | +2.9% | +6.6% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 0.48 | 0.57 | +18.4% | +0.5% | +0.6% | -1.0% | -6.0% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.65 | 0.70 | +7.5% | +5.6% | +5.4% | +0.7% | +2.2% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +6.2% | -0.5% | -0.2% | +2.5% | +2.0% |
| 2025-05-02 miss | 0.57 | 0.53 | -7.3% | +7.1% | +7.0% | -0.7% | +2.1% |
| 2023-05-11 beat | 0.35 | 0.48 | +37.4% | +2.1% | +4.3% | +2.9% | +2.5% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 0.28 | 0.33 | +17.6% | -4.6% | -5.3% | +1.2% | +3.3% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | 0.35 | 0.25 | -26.7% | +6.5% | +8.2% | +6.8% | +13.7% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 0.33 | 0.33 | +0.3% | -3.3% | -2.5% | +4.9% | -9.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.