INTU chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +1.1% | 7.7% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.6% | 2.7% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.5% | 2.2% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.1% | -0.9% | 10.1% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 beat | 3.59 | 4.03 | +12.3% | -9.5% | -3.2% | -0.9% | — |
| 2026-05-20 beat | 12.57 | 12.80 | +1.8% | -18.7% | -20.0% | +8.0% | -16.0% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 3.68 | 4.15 | +12.7% | -2.5% | +3.7% | +17.6% | +4.9% |
| 2025-11-20 beat | 3.09 | 3.34 | +8.0% | +5.0% | +4.0% | -4.8% | +1.7% |
| 2025-08-21 beat | 2.66 | 2.75 | +3.4% | -6.1% | -5.0% | +0.7% | +5.5% |
| 2025-05-22 beat | 10.91 | 11.65 | +6.8% | +8.1% | +8.1% | +6.2% | +5.2% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 2.58 | 3.32 | +28.9% | +14.4% | +12.6% | -1.3% | -1.6% |
| 2024-11-21 beat | 2.36 | 2.50 | +6.0% | -1.6% | -5.7% | -0.9% | +0.8% |
| 2024-08-22 beat | 1.85 | 1.99 | +7.4% | -0.8% | -6.8% | +1.7% | +3.0% |
| 2024-05-23 beat | 9.38 | 9.88 | +5.3% | -6.2% | -8.3% | -6.6% | +5.0% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 2.31 | 2.63 | +13.9% | -0.8% | +0.3% | +1.0% | -3.1% |
| 2023-11-28 beat | 1.98 | 2.47 | +24.8% | +3.2% | +2.2% | -1.9% | +8.3% |
| 2023-08-23 beat | 1.44 | 1.65 | +14.9% | +0.7% | -0.5% | +8.7% | +2.0% |
| 2023-05-23 beat | 8.50 | 8.92 | +5.0% | -6.4% | -7.5% | +1.5% | +9.0% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 1.44 | 2.20 | +52.6% | -1.7% | +1.9% | -2.7% | +1.7% |
| 2022-11-29 beat | 1.20 | 1.66 | +38.6% | -1.1% | +7.3% | -4.6% | -4.5% |
| 2022-08-23 beat | 0.98 | 1.10 | +12.4% | +6.7% | +3.6% | -7.3% | -15.4% |
| 2022-05-24 beat | 7.57 | 7.65 | +1.0% | +3.8% | +8.2% | +9.9% | +4.2% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | 1.82 | 1.55 | -15.0% | -1.6% | -2.0% | -4.6% | -1.4% |
| 2021-11-18 beat | 0.97 | 1.53 | +57.3% | +13.8% | +10.1% | +0.3% | -10.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.