INTU chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.1% | -4.1% | 9.4% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | -0.7% | 2.7% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 2.3% | 70% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | -4.2% | 12.2% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 beat | 3.59 | 4.03 | +12.3% | -9.5% | -3.2% | -0.9% | — |
| 2026-05-20 beat | 12.57 | 12.80 | +1.8% | -18.7% | -20.0% | +8.0% | -16.0% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 3.68 | 4.15 | +12.7% | -2.5% | +3.7% | +17.6% | +4.9% |
| 2025-11-20 beat | 3.09 | 3.34 | +8.0% | +5.0% | +4.0% | -4.8% | +1.7% |
| 2025-08-21 beat | 2.66 | 2.75 | +3.4% | -6.1% | -5.0% | +0.7% | +5.5% |
| 2025-05-22 beat | 10.91 | 11.65 | +6.8% | +8.1% | +8.1% | +6.2% | +5.2% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 2.58 | 3.32 | +28.9% | +14.4% | +12.6% | -1.3% | -1.6% |
| 2024-11-21 beat | 2.36 | 2.50 | +6.0% | -1.6% | -5.7% | -0.9% | +0.8% |
| 2024-08-22 beat | 1.85 | 1.99 | +7.4% | -0.8% | -6.8% | +1.7% | +3.0% |
| 2024-05-23 beat | 9.38 | 9.88 | +5.3% | -6.2% | -8.3% | -6.6% | +5.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.