IOT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.6% | +1.2% | 12.4% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -1.3% | -1.7% | 2.7% | 20% |
| Day 3 | -2.8% | -3.7% | 4.5% | 30% |
| 5-day | -3.1% | -4.4% | 13.9% | 44% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 beat | 0.16 | 0.20 | +27.4% | +15.9% | +3.7% | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 beat | 0.13 | 0.17 | +30.4% | +4.0% | -1.2% | -3.3% | +4.7% |
| 2026-03-05 beat | 0.13 | 0.18 | +40.9% | +8.8% | +19.5% | -10.3% | -13.8% |
| 2025-12-04 beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +26.4% | +3.0% | +11.1% | -8.5% | -19.7% |
| 2025-09-04 beat | 0.07 | 0.12 | +65.6% | +12.7% | +17.4% | -9.1% | -4.8% |
| 2025-06-05 beat | 0.06 | 0.11 | +91.6% | -9.5% | -4.6% | -13.1% | -12.9% |
| 2025-03-06 beat | 0.07 | 0.11 | +55.7% | -6.9% | -15.6% | +7.6% | -4.9% |
| 2024-12-05 beat | 0.04 | 0.07 | +74.3% | -4.7% | -5.2% | -11.8% | -15.5% |
| 2024-09-05 beat | 0.01 | 0.05 | +446.4% | +11.4% | +13.6% | +7.8% | +8.5% |
| 2024-06-06 beat | 0.01 | 0.03 | +228.9% | -5.8% | -12.3% | -8.1% | +15.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.