IR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -4.0% | -3.8% | 4.8% | 20% |
| Day 2 | +1.3% | +0.9% | 2.7% | 80% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | -0.8% | 1.9% | 40% |
| 5-day | -2.3% | -1.6% | 6.2% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.83 | 0.86 | +4.1% | -5.2% | -1.1% | +4.3% | -7.6% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 0.74 | 0.77 | +4.0% | -2.0% | -4.6% | +1.5% | -7.5% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 0.90 | 0.96 | +6.6% | +2.4% | +4.6% | -4.6% | -14.7% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | 0.86 | 0.86 | -0.3% | -2.9% | -3.0% | +1.5% | +3.7% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.80 | 0.80 | +0.2% | -6.4% | -11.4% | +1.2% | +3.9% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.74 | 0.72 | -2.3% | -0.3% | +0.7% | +3.4% | +6.8% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | 0.84 | 0.84 | -0.1% | -4.9% | -7.4% | -3.3% | -4.8% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.81 | 0.84 | +3.2% | -2.1% | -2.1% | +9.2% | +10.9% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.78 | 0.83 | +6.1% | -8.4% | -9.1% | -0.8% | +0.2% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.69 | 0.78 | +13.0% | -5.2% | -6.6% | +5.2% | +1.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.