IRM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +1.2% | 5.1% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +1.4% | +1.6% | 3.2% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.5% | 2.1% | 55% |
| 5-day | +3.3% | +1.1% | 8.0% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.56 | 0.60 | +7.5% | +2.7% | +1.3% | -2.2% | -9.6% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.52 | 0.60 | +15.8% | +2.1% | +10.0% | +0.7% | +0.3% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 0.59 | 0.61 | +3.8% | +3.4% | +5.8% | +4.0% | +1.4% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +2.4% | +0.3% | -2.8% | -2.4% | -16.1% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 0.50 | 0.48 | -4.2% | +2.6% | -5.8% | +4.4% | +2.4% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.40 | 0.43 | +7.0% | +0.4% | +2.4% | +5.3% | +8.3% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | 0.53 | 0.50 | -6.2% | -1.0% | -7.3% | -3.6% | -6.4% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | 0.48 | 0.44 | -9.0% | -3.1% | -9.0% | +1.3% | +5.0% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.44 | 0.42 | -3.6% | +2.4% | +6.8% | -2.0% | +3.4% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.43 | 0.43 | +0.3% | +1.0% | -1.4% | +3.4% | +4.8% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 0.45 | 0.52 | +14.4% | +2.2% | +5.2% | +9.1% | +10.2% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +1.4% | +1.1% | -0.5% | -0.8% | +11.5% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | 0.41 | 0.40 | -1.5% | -3.7% | -3.0% | +2.0% | +6.4% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.35 | 0.42 | +19.2% | +0.6% | +0.9% | -0.8% | -0.2% |
| 2023-02-23 miss | 0.44 | 0.43 | -1.2% | +3.0% | +4.2% | +0.0% | -4.4% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +8.4% | -2.0% | +1.3% | +5.5% | +10.3% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.40 | 0.46 | +15.5% | +0.5% | +1.2% | +9.5% | +6.5% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +1.5% | +1.2% | +2.4% | -2.0% | -1.4% |
| 2022-02-24 beat | 0.40 | 0.43 | +7.7% | -0.8% | +7.6% | +13.9% | +17.4% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.40 | 0.40 | +0.9% | +0.6% | -4.2% | +3.6% | +2.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.