ISDR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | +0.9% | 9.7% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -2.2% | -1.1% | 4.0% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -1.3% | 3.3% | 40% |
| 5-day | -4.3% | -4.2% | 11.4% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-07 miss | 0.20 | 0.17 | -15.0% | -1.6% | +1.6% | -4.6% | -6.3% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +4.8% | -0.9% | +2.9% | -6.3% | +17.1% |
| 2024-05-09 miss | 0.29 | 0.08 | -72.4% | -10.0% | -16.6% | -0.1% | -8.7% |
| 2024-03-07 miss | 0.26 | 0.15 | -42.3% | -2.0% | -7.8% | -12.2% | -7.8% |
| 2023-11-09 miss | 0.35 | 0.27 | -22.9% | -7.4% | -14.2% | +1.7% | -6.2% |
| 2023-08-10 beat | 0.42 | 0.53 | +26.2% | +4.6% | +7.9% | +0.2% | -8.2% |
| 2023-05-11 beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +6.5% | +1.5% | +7.6% | -2.7% | -11.2% |
| 2023-03-02 miss | 0.29 | 0.18 | -37.9% | +0.0% | +0.1% | -12.5% | -19.0% |
| 2022-11-03 | 0.27 | 0.27 | — | +12.6% | +13.4% | +2.5% | +3.9% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.25 | 0.29 | +16.0% | +2.9% | +0.0% | -4.8% | -13.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.