ISDR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +0.2% | 8.7% | 54% |
| Day 2 | -1.0% | -0.8% | 4.2% | 42% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 3.9% | 42% |
| 5-day | -0.4% | -3.4% | 13.9% | 46% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-07 miss | 0.20 | 0.17 | -15.0% | -1.6% | +1.6% | -4.6% | -6.3% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +4.8% | -0.9% | +2.9% | -6.3% | +17.1% |
| 2024-05-09 miss | 0.29 | 0.08 | -72.4% | -10.0% | -16.6% | -0.1% | -8.7% |
| 2024-03-07 miss | 0.26 | 0.15 | -42.3% | -2.0% | -7.8% | -12.2% | -7.8% |
| 2023-11-09 miss | 0.35 | 0.27 | -22.9% | -7.4% | -14.2% | +1.7% | -6.2% |
| 2023-08-10 beat | 0.42 | 0.53 | +26.2% | +4.6% | +7.9% | +0.2% | -8.2% |
| 2023-05-11 beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +6.5% | +1.5% | +7.6% | -2.7% | -11.2% |
| 2023-03-02 miss | 0.29 | 0.18 | -37.9% | +0.0% | +0.1% | -12.5% | -19.0% |
| 2022-11-03 | 0.27 | 0.27 | — | +12.6% | +13.4% | +2.5% | +3.9% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.25 | 0.29 | +16.0% | +2.9% | +0.0% | -4.8% | -13.1% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.14 | 0.22 | +57.1% | +7.3% | +2.6% | -18.2% | +5.0% |
| 2022-03-03 miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -8.0% | +7.8% | +4.6% | -1.8% | +5.6% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 0.25 | 0.24 | -4.0% | -1.1% | -1.1% | -4.2% | +17.4% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 0.22 | 0.31 | +40.9% | -2.0% | +0.4% | +1.2% | +1.8% |
| 2021-05-06 | 0.18 | 0.18 | — | -3.1% | +0.4% | -9.2% | -6.5% |
| 2021-03-04 beat | 0.18 | 0.32 | +77.8% | +1.3% | -3.3% | +15.1% | +18.9% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.19 | 0.26 | +36.8% | +0.5% | -3.9% | +10.2% | -0.9% |
| 2020-07-31 beat | 0.03 | 0.21 | +600.0% | +10.0% | +28.0% | +14.2% | +12.8% |
| 2020-04-30 miss | 0.08 | 0.06 | -25.0% | -0.5% | -1.8% | +15.0% | +21.8% |
| 2020-02-27 miss | 0.10 | 0.07 | -30.0% | -5.7% | -3.0% | -6.3% | -18.8% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +10.0% | +0.7% | +2.4% | +0.6% | +16.6% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | 0.16 | 0.12 | -25.0% | -1.2% | -4.6% | -4.9% | +0.1% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +18.2% | -2.1% | -5.1% | -0.3% | -9.5% |
| 2019-02-28 miss | 0.06 | 0.01 | -83.3% | -0.1% | +3.3% | +1.2% | -8.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.