ISRG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | -1.0% | 6.9% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.3% | 2.0% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.5% | 1.5% | 35% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | -0.6% | 8.0% | 48% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 beat | 2.50 | 2.80 | +11.9% | -9.3% | -14.1% | -2.3% | +13.0% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 2.11 | 2.50 | +18.7% | +2.2% | +7.2% | -6.2% | -9.1% |
| 2026-01-22 beat | 2.27 | 2.53 | +11.6% | +0.8% | -0.3% | -3.8% | -5.7% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 1.99 | 2.40 | +20.7% | +17.3% | +13.9% | +2.0% | +4.8% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 1.92 | 2.19 | +14.1% | +2.3% | -1.8% | -0.3% | -6.4% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 1.73 | 1.81 | +4.4% | +4.4% | +1.9% | +5.7% | +11.2% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 1.79 | 2.21 | +23.7% | -4.4% | -4.0% | -2.1% | -1.8% |
| 2024-10-17 beat | 1.64 | 1.84 | +12.2% | +4.7% | +10.0% | -1.9% | +2.0% |
| 2024-07-18 beat | 1.54 | 1.78 | +15.5% | +8.0% | +9.3% | -3.0% | +6.0% |
| 2024-04-18 beat | 1.42 | 1.50 | +6.0% | +3.4% | -1.7% | +2.5% | +9.2% |
| 2024-01-23 beat | 1.49 | 1.60 | +7.7% | +3.4% | -0.4% | +2.2% | +5.3% |
| 2023-10-19 beat | 1.42 | 1.46 | +3.2% | -4.9% | -2.4% | -3.0% | +16.6% |
| 2023-07-20 beat | 1.33 | 1.42 | +6.9% | -3.4% | -3.2% | -3.0% | -14.8% |
| 2023-04-18 beat | 1.20 | 1.23 | +2.8% | +8.4% | +10.9% | -1.2% | +4.6% |
| 2023-01-24 miss | 1.25 | 1.23 | -1.9% | -6.5% | -5.5% | +3.0% | -5.2% |
| 2022-10-18 beat | 1.12 | 1.19 | +6.4% | +12.5% | +9.0% | +14.5% | +23.5% |
| 2022-07-21 miss | 1.20 | 1.14 | -4.8% | -7.7% | -5.7% | +8.6% | +3.2% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 1.08 | 1.13 | +5.1% | -6.6% | -14.3% | -5.2% | -12.2% |
| 2022-01-20 beat | 1.28 | 1.30 | +1.6% | -6.0% | -7.9% | +0.8% | +5.4% |
| 2021-10-19 beat | 1.16 | 1.19 | +2.7% | +0.5% | +1.0% | +2.7% | +5.7% |
| 2021-07-20 beat | 1.02 | 1.31 | +28.1% | +3.1% | -1.1% | +2.9% | +11.7% |
| 2021-04-20 beat | 0.88 | 1.17 | +33.7% | +3.7% | +9.9% | -2.5% | -6.6% |
| 2021-01-21 beat | 1.04 | 1.19 | +15.3% | -2.0% | -6.8% | +0.5% | +0.1% |
| 2020-10-15 beat | 0.68 | 0.92 | +35.1% | -2.2% | +1.6% | -2.3% | +0.7% |
| 2020-07-21 beat | 0.16 | 0.37 | +125.5% | +1.7% | +3.5% | +2.1% | +1.7% |
| 2020-04-16 beat | 0.85 | 0.90 | +5.7% | +1.9% | +3.1% | -2.2% | +2.3% |
| 2020-01-23 beat | 1.13 | 1.16 | +3.0% | -1.7% | -4.2% | -5.0% | -5.2% |
| 2019-10-17 beat | 1.00 | 1.14 | +14.8% | +3.3% | +7.0% | -3.0% | +0.5% |
| 2019-07-18 beat | 0.96 | 1.08 | +13.3% | -0.6% | -1.5% | -0.2% | -6.3% |
| 2019-04-18 miss | 0.90 | 0.87 | -3.3% | -5.3% | -7.0% | +3.9% | -1.5% |
| 2019-01-24 miss | 1.02 | 0.99 | -3.6% | -3.8% | -3.9% | +1.9% | +6.5% |
| 2018-10-18 beat | 0.89 | 0.94 | +6.4% | +3.2% | -3.5% | -3.4% | -4.3% |
| 2018-07-19 beat | 0.83 | 0.92 | +11.0% | +2.9% | -0.9% | +0.5% | +1.7% |
| 2018-04-17 beat | 0.69 | 0.81 | +18.6% | +4.2% | +8.2% | -7.0% | -2.8% |
| 2018-01-25 beat | 0.76 | 0.85 | +11.8% | -2.7% | -2.1% | -5.3% | -2.1% |
| 2017-10-19 beat | 0.66 | 0.92 | +39.4% | +0.0% | +3.4% | +1.1% | +6.3% |
| 2017-07-20 beat | 0.64 | 0.66 | +2.9% | -0.7% | -4.6% | +1.5% | +6.0% |
| 2017-04-18 beat | 0.55 | 0.57 | +2.3% | +5.4% | +6.4% | +3.3% | +6.5% |
| 2017-01-24 beat | 0.67 | 0.68 | +1.7% | +1.3% | +5.1% | -0.4% | +5.3% |
| 2016-10-18 beat | 0.57 | 0.69 | +20.0% | -2.2% | -5.6% | -2.3% | -3.9% |
| 2016-07-19 beat | 0.55 | 0.62 | +12.7% | +6.0% | +4.6% | -2.8% | -2.5% |
| 2016-04-19 beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +2.0% | +3.4% | +3.3% | -1.8% | -3.2% |
| 2016-01-21 beat | 0.56 | 0.65 | +17.4% | +2.4% | +1.9% | -4.5% | -3.0% |
| 2015-10-20 beat | 0.47 | 0.58 | +23.9% | +9.7% | +5.6% | +0.1% | +1.0% |
| 2015-07-21 beat | 0.44 | 0.51 | +14.7% | +11.1% | +8.9% | -1.7% | -6.5% |
| 2015-04-21 miss | 0.43 | 0.40 | -8.2% | -2.9% | -5.5% | -3.4% | -4.3% |
| 2015-01-22 beat | 0.49 | 0.55 | +11.9% | -2.5% | -1.5% | -4.5% | -1.1% |
| 2014-10-21 beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +5.3% | +1.2% | -2.8% | +1.2% | +6.6% |
| 2014-07-22 beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +1.8% | +12.2% | +17.7% | +1.2% | +2.2% |
| 2014-04-22 miss | 0.36 | 0.30 | -18.5% | -8.3% | -11.5% | -3.3% | -2.5% |
| 2014-01-23 beat | 0.43 | 0.48 | +11.3% | -6.1% | -6.4% | -0.8% | +5.9% |
| 2013-10-17 miss | 0.37 | 0.37 | -0.9% | -7.2% | -5.7% | -2.0% | +4.4% |
| 2013-07-18 miss | 0.45 | 0.43 | -3.3% | -13.2% | -6.8% | -2.6% | -2.0% |
| 2013-04-18 beat | 0.45 | 0.51 | +13.1% | -4.9% | -1.7% | +0.4% | -1.1% |
| 2013-01-22 beat | 0.45 | 0.47 | +4.8% | +9.1% | +9.4% | +1.0% | +1.2% |
| 2012-10-16 beat | 0.39 | 0.39 | +0.6% | -4.3% | -0.1% | +2.0% | +1.9% |
| 2012-07-19 beat | 0.40 | 0.42 | +5.1% | -5.2% | -8.4% | +0.1% | +2.4% |
| 2012-04-17 beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +11.1% | +5.2% | +7.1% | -1.5% | -11.2% |
| 2012-01-19 beat | 0.37 | 0.42 | +12.1% | -6.2% | -6.1% | +3.0% | +13.3% |
| 2011-10-18 beat | 0.31 | 0.34 | +8.5% | +8.1% | +9.1% | +0.7% | +2.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.