ITCI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.6% | +0.1% | 6.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.7% | 3.3% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.9% | 1.6% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | -1.8% | 7.8% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-21 miss | -0.11 | -0.16 | -44.2% | +0.2% | +0.0% | -0.3% | +2.4% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | -0.20 | -0.25 | -27.5% | +2.8% | +11.4% | +4.6% | +0.2% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | -0.18 | -0.16 | +13.2% | -1.6% | -5.8% | +2.7% | -0.1% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | -0.32 | -0.16 | +50.5% | -1.8% | +0.3% | -7.7% | -3.7% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | -0.46 | -0.30 | +35.1% | -4.0% | -1.8% | -3.4% | -4.0% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | -0.58 | -0.25 | +56.6% | +3.7% | +3.0% | +2.2% | +17.3% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | -0.59 | -0.45 | +23.1% | -2.9% | -3.3% | -1.2% | -5.1% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -0.62 | -0.46 | +25.9% | -2.3% | -2.0% | +3.9% | +2.0% |
| 2023-03-01 beat | -0.59 | -0.45 | +24.2% | +2.0% | +0.6% | -5.7% | +13.6% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | -0.84 | -0.57 | +32.4% | +1.6% | +13.2% | -2.3% | +4.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.