ITCI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.7% | +0.3% | 6.8% | 53% |
| Day 2 | +1.0% | +0.1% | 5.4% | 51% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.9% | 3.3% | 58% |
| 5-day | +1.6% | +1.4% | 9.9% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-21 miss | -0.11 | -0.16 | -44.2% | +0.2% | +0.0% | -0.3% | +2.4% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | -0.20 | -0.25 | -27.5% | +2.8% | +11.4% | +4.6% | +0.2% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | -0.18 | -0.16 | +13.2% | -1.6% | -5.8% | +2.7% | -0.1% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | -0.32 | -0.16 | +50.5% | -1.8% | +0.3% | -7.7% | -3.7% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | -0.46 | -0.30 | +35.1% | -4.0% | -1.8% | -3.4% | -4.0% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | -0.58 | -0.25 | +56.6% | +3.7% | +3.0% | +2.2% | +17.3% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | -0.59 | -0.45 | +23.1% | -2.9% | -3.3% | -1.2% | -5.1% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -0.62 | -0.46 | +25.9% | -2.3% | -2.0% | +3.9% | +2.0% |
| 2023-03-01 beat | -0.59 | -0.45 | +24.2% | +2.0% | +0.6% | -5.7% | +13.6% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | -0.84 | -0.57 | +32.4% | +1.6% | +13.2% | -2.3% | +4.6% |
| 2022-08-09 miss | -0.76 | -0.92 | -20.7% | -4.5% | -4.3% | -4.5% | -7.2% |
| 2022-05-10 beat | -0.91 | -0.78 | +13.9% | +7.7% | +23.8% | +11.6% | +4.2% |
| 2022-03-01 miss | -0.99 | -1.05 | -6.2% | -0.9% | +1.8% | -4.5% | +6.8% |
| 2021-11-09 miss | -0.92 | -0.95 | -3.3% | +0.1% | +0.2% | -7.8% | -14.9% |
| 2021-08-09 miss | -0.79 | -0.85 | -7.5% | +4.9% | -5.4% | -7.1% | +7.1% |
| 2021-05-10 beat | -0.80 | -0.65 | +18.4% | -0.1% | +2.7% | +3.1% | +16.8% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | -0.85 | -0.76 | +10.1% | -4.6% | -5.7% | -6.8% | -9.9% |
| 2020-11-09 beat | -0.99 | -0.79 | +20.6% | +1.6% | +9.0% | +0.5% | -7.8% |
| 2020-08-10 miss | -0.92 | -0.96 | -4.8% | -4.4% | -6.9% | +3.0% | +63.7% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | -0.89 | -0.73 | +18.1% | +0.8% | -0.5% | +13.3% | +22.2% |
| 2020-03-02 beat | -0.84 | -0.74 | +11.8% | +0.9% | +3.7% | -12.9% | -29.8% |
| 2019-11-05 beat | -0.82 | -0.63 | +22.7% | +2.1% | +3.1% | -7.5% | -1.0% |
| 2019-08-07 beat | -0.84 | -0.68 | +19.5% | -1.2% | +4.5% | -0.4% | +6.3% |
| 2019-05-08 beat | -0.87 | -0.63 | +27.4% | +2.5% | -0.4% | -8.7% | -16.2% |
| 2019-02-27 beat | -0.92 | -0.75 | +18.4% | +4.1% | +6.7% | -10.8% | -12.7% |
| 2018-11-07 beat | -0.83 | -0.76 | +8.5% | -1.2% | +4.9% | -18.5% | -21.1% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | -0.75 | -0.68 | +9.0% | -0.3% | +5.6% | -2.0% | +0.5% |
| 2018-05-03 beat | -0.68 | -0.65 | +4.5% | +0.5% | +0.6% | +8.8% | +23.1% |
| 2018-03-01 miss | -0.55 | -0.56 | -2.4% | -6.0% | -6.9% | +22.7% | +7.4% |
| 2017-11-08 beat | -0.68 | -0.53 | +21.6% | -0.8% | -2.3% | +2.7% | +5.2% |
| 2017-08-09 beat | -0.78 | -0.41 | +47.6% | -1.1% | +5.8% | +1.5% | +87.3% |
| 2017-05-10 beat | -0.74 | -0.62 | +16.0% | +0.2% | +13.6% | +2.1% | -8.4% |
| 2017-03-01 beat | -0.78 | -0.64 | +18.2% | +2.4% | +11.9% | -3.0% | +11.4% |
| 2016-11-09 beat | -0.87 | -0.70 | +19.4% | +8.0% | +17.5% | -4.6% | +9.9% |
| 2016-08-04 beat | -0.79 | -0.71 | +9.7% | +0.9% | -0.4% | -0.1% | -0.9% |
| 2016-04-28 beat | -0.81 | -0.64 | +21.0% | +1.7% | -3.8% | -8.9% | +8.9% |
| 2016-02-25 beat | -0.89 | -0.67 | +24.9% | +0.7% | -8.2% | +10.9% | -6.0% |
| 2015-11-05 miss | -0.74 | -0.91 | -23.3% | -1.2% | +0.3% | -8.0% | -1.5% |
| 2015-08-05 beat | -0.71 | -0.61 | +13.7% | +0.4% | -0.6% | +7.3% | -8.7% |
| 2015-04-30 miss | -0.54 | -0.72 | -33.3% | +0.8% | -0.1% | +6.9% | +30.0% |
| 2015-03-12 miss | -0.29 | -0.52 | -79.3% | +0.9% | -6.3% | +13.8% | -0.6% |
| 2014-11-03 miss | -0.19 | -0.22 | -15.8% | -1.9% | -2.2% | +3.8% | +7.8% |
| 2014-08-12 beat | -0.19 | -0.15 | +21.1% | -0.7% | +0.6% | +8.2% | -7.4% |
| 2014-05-05 beat | -0.22 | -0.17 | +22.7% | +1.0% | +1.1% | -2.5% | +4.9% |
| 2014-03-25 beat | -0.41 | -0.36 | +12.2% | +0.4% | -4.3% | +6.0% | -9.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.