ITW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 3.0% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.2% | 1.7% | 55% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 1.5% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | +0.1% | 4.1% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 2.80 | 2.84 | +1.5% | +4.9% | +3.6% | +0.0% | -3.3% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 2.56 | 2.66 | +3.8% | -5.9% | -2.9% | -1.0% | -4.7% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 2.69 | 2.72 | +1.1% | +1.0% | +5.6% | +5.5% | +1.3% |
| 2025-10-24 beat | 2.72 | 2.81 | +3.5% | -3.3% | -4.5% | -0.7% | -1.3% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 2.56 | 2.58 | +0.6% | -0.7% | -2.2% | +1.5% | +4.8% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 2.35 | 2.38 | +1.1% | -0.8% | -0.8% | +0.2% | +2.2% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 2.50 | 2.54 | +1.5% | -2.6% | -0.2% | +0.7% | +8.0% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 2.53 | 2.65 | +4.5% | +2.7% | +3.2% | +4.2% | +5.0% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 2.47 | 2.54 | +2.9% | +3.0% | +0.5% | -4.4% | -0.3% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 2.36 | 2.73 | +15.7% | +0.5% | -2.1% | +1.2% | -2.6% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 2.41 | 2.42 | +0.2% | -2.6% | -2.1% | -0.4% | +1.4% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 2.45 | 2.55 | +3.9% | +1.4% | +0.3% | +0.5% | +7.9% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 2.41 | 2.41 | +0.1% | -3.0% | -4.4% | -1.2% | -1.4% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 2.23 | 2.33 | +4.6% | -3.6% | -4.6% | -2.6% | -5.3% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 2.57 | 2.95 | +14.7% | +3.7% | +4.6% | -6.2% | -4.7% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 2.25 | 2.35 | +4.3% | +0.1% | +2.5% | +3.6% | +11.1% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 2.21 | 2.37 | +7.1% | -2.1% | -1.2% | +2.0% | -4.9% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 2.07 | 2.11 | +2.1% | +4.9% | +2.1% | -0.3% | +2.5% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 1.91 | 1.93 | +1.1% | +0.4% | +2.3% | -9.0% | -14.5% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 2.01 | 2.02 | +0.4% | -0.3% | +2.0% | +2.7% | +5.1% |
| 2021-07-30 beat | 2.09 | 2.45 | +17.2% | -2.0% | -0.8% | +0.5% | +2.7% |
| 2021-04-30 beat | 1.89 | 2.11 | +11.9% | +0.0% | -0.1% | +3.4% | +1.2% |
| 2021-02-05 beat | 1.77 | 2.02 | +13.8% | +0.6% | +2.6% | -0.6% | +4.3% |
| 2020-10-23 beat | 1.45 | 1.83 | +26.2% | +3.1% | +2.5% | -5.2% | +1.0% |
| 2020-07-31 beat | 0.69 | 1.01 | +45.8% | -0.8% | -0.4% | +3.0% | +6.8% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 1.71 | 1.77 | +3.6% | -3.4% | +0.9% | -3.1% | +11.9% |
| 2020-01-31 beat | 1.86 | 2.21 | +19.2% | +0.0% | -1.6% | +4.9% | -3.5% |
| 2019-10-25 beat | 1.95 | 2.04 | +4.8% | +2.5% | +7.3% | +0.6% | +2.0% |
| 2019-07-26 miss | 1.98 | 1.91 | -3.5% | -2.3% | -1.9% | -2.5% | -6.6% |
| 2019-04-25 miss | 1.82 | 1.81 | -0.6% | -3.0% | -3.6% | +2.2% | -3.6% |
| 2019-02-01 beat | 1.82 | 1.83 | +0.6% | -3.4% | -2.1% | +1.0% | +6.9% |
| 2018-10-24 beat | 1.88 | 1.90 | +0.9% | -0.5% | -5.3% | +6.5% | +12.0% |
| 2018-07-23 beat | 1.97 | 1.97 | +0.0% | -6.8% | -7.2% | +2.5% | +1.3% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 1.86 | 1.90 | +2.4% | -1.8% | -6.7% | +2.0% | +4.3% |
| 2018-01-24 miss | 1.61 | -0.22 | -113.6% | +1.7% | +0.4% | -0.1% | -5.6% |
| 2017-10-23 beat | 1.65 | 1.85 | +12.3% | -3.7% | +0.3% | +1.2% | +2.5% |
| 2017-07-24 beat | 1.63 | 1.69 | +3.5% | -2.6% | -3.6% | -0.9% | -2.9% |
| 2017-04-24 beat | 1.45 | 1.54 | +6.3% | +2.9% | +3.6% | -1.5% | -0.7% |
| 2017-01-25 beat | 1.37 | 1.39 | +1.3% | +1.6% | +1.2% | -1.3% | +2.4% |
| 2016-10-20 beat | 1.49 | 1.50 | +0.6% | -1.7% | -2.1% | +0.0% | +9.4% |
| 2016-07-20 beat | 1.40 | 1.46 | +4.6% | +1.3% | +2.8% | +1.3% | +4.2% |
| 2016-04-20 beat | 1.26 | 1.29 | +2.4% | -0.9% | -1.2% | +1.1% | -1.5% |
| 2016-01-27 beat | 1.21 | 1.23 | +2.0% | +3.8% | +2.3% | +4.4% | +10.1% |
| 2015-10-21 beat | 1.36 | 1.39 | +2.1% | -1.2% | +0.5% | +7.7% | +8.1% |
| 2015-07-22 beat | 1.28 | 1.30 | +1.4% | +0.7% | -2.8% | -0.3% | -2.4% |
| 2015-04-21 beat | 1.17 | 1.21 | +3.2% | -1.1% | -2.7% | +0.8% | +2.4% |
| 2015-01-27 beat | 1.13 | 1.18 | +4.5% | -0.4% | -0.3% | +2.6% | +6.3% |
| 2014-10-21 beat | 1.23 | 1.34 | +8.9% | +2.9% | +3.8% | +3.7% | +9.3% |
| 2014-07-29 miss | 3.94 | 3.66 | -7.1% | -0.3% | -1.5% | -0.9% | +6.0% |
| 2014-04-22 beat | 0.98 | 1.01 | +3.2% | +1.6% | +0.6% | -0.4% | +0.7% |
| 2014-01-28 miss | 0.98 | 0.93 | -5.5% | +1.8% | +0.9% | -2.0% | +4.1% |
| 2013-10-21 beat | 0.92 | 0.99 | +7.3% | +0.4% | +0.6% | +1.5% | +0.8% |
| 2013-07-23 miss | 1.10 | 1.03 | -6.0% | -1.4% | -2.8% | +0.5% | +0.6% |
| 2013-04-23 miss | 0.96 | 0.78 | -18.5% | +1.3% | +3.3% | +2.9% | +12.8% |
| 2013-01-29 miss | 0.90 | 0.89 | -0.7% | -2.1% | -2.0% | -2.0% | -4.1% |
| 2012-10-23 beat | 1.06 | 1.09 | +2.6% | -1.4% | +0.3% | +2.3% | -0.3% |
| 2012-07-24 beat | 1.10 | 1.11 | +1.3% | +0.8% | -2.4% | +3.9% | +12.4% |
| 2012-04-24 beat | 0.95 | 1.00 | +5.4% | +0.5% | +2.6% | +1.2% | -2.8% |
| 2012-01-31 beat | 0.89 | 0.91 | +1.7% | -0.1% | -0.3% | +5.2% | +5.4% |
| 2011-10-25 beat | 0.98 | 1.00 | +2.4% | -0.6% | -5.3% | +2.2% | -6.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.