JCI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.2% | +2.4% | 6.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +1.0% | 1.8% | 80% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +0.8% | 2.3% | 70% |
| 5-day | +6.1% | +9.0% | 8.1% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 1.30 | 1.42 | +9.0% | +2.9% | -0.6% | +10.2% | +2.0% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 1.12 | 1.19 | +6.5% | -4.1% | -1.2% | +0.5% | +0.4% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 0.84 | 0.89 | +5.7% | +6.8% | +4.4% | +8.9% | +2.2% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 1.20 | 1.26 | +4.7% | +8.9% | +8.8% | +1.5% | -5.5% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 1.01 | 1.05 | +3.6% | -4.4% | -7.4% | +1.5% | +5.8% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.80 | 0.82 | +2.6% | -0.3% | +1.1% | +7.4% | +15.6% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 0.59 | 0.64 | +8.5% | +12.7% | +11.3% | +3.5% | -6.9% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 1.25 | 1.28 | +2.7% | +3.6% | +8.8% | +5.2% | +3.5% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 1.08 | 1.14 | +5.2% | +8.6% | +3.6% | -8.1% | -0.6% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.75 | 0.78 | +3.4% | -4.6% | -7.1% | +7.9% | +18.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.