K chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.1% | +0.3% | 3.0% | 67% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | +0.0% | 1.1% | 44% |
| Day 3 | +1.9% | +0.0% | 5.4% | 33% |
| 5-day | +4.7% | +0.4% | 9.1% | 78% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | 0.90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.87 | 0.94 | +8.5% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +0.1% | -0.1% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 0.99 | 0.94 | -5.4% | -0.1% | +0.0% | +0.3% | -0.4% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 1.01 | 0.90 | -10.8% | -0.3% | +0.0% | -0.3% | -0.8% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 0.84 | 1.04 | +24.1% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +0.4% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.85 | 1.05 | +24.1% | -0.1% | -0.2% | +0.0% | +0.1% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.90 | 1.01 | +12.4% | +3.4% | +6.7% | +19.8% | +29.9% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.85 | 1.01 | +18.2% | +3.5% | +7.5% | +0.5% | -2.3% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +5.1% | +3.4% | +2.3% | +0.8% | -1.4% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | 0.92 | 1.03 | +11.6% | +3.4% | +2.1% | +0.6% | +3.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.